Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate Busan will peak near 29°C on September 6 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate northeast winds around 15-20 mph, supporting the market's strong 83.5% implied probability for that threshold. Typical early-September highs average 26-27°C, but current observations showing afternoon readings already approaching 27°C and limited cloud cover align with consensus for a modest above-normal spike. Lower probabilities for 30°C or higher reflect model agreement on modest intensification limits from regional sea-surface temperatures and steering patterns, while sub-28°C outcomes remain discounted given the latest data trends. Official station maxima will resolve the market once fully recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Busan il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Busan il 6 settembre?
29°C 92%
30°C 7%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,460 Vol.
$30,460 Vol.
6 set 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
92%
30°C
7%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 92%
30°C 7%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,460 Vol.
$30,460 Vol.
6 set 2026
23°C o inferiore
$125 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$9,964 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,350 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,996 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7,020 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,929 Vol.
92%
30°C
$2,921 Vol.
7%
31°C
$2,490 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$200 Vol.
1%
33°C o superiore
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate Busan will peak near 29°C on September 6 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate northeast winds around 15-20 mph, supporting the market's strong 83.5% implied probability for that threshold. Typical early-September highs average 26-27°C, but current observations showing afternoon readings already approaching 27°C and limited cloud cover align with consensus for a modest above-normal spike. Lower probabilities for 30°C or higher reflect model agreement on modest intensification limits from regional sea-surface temperatures and steering patterns, while sub-28°C outcomes remain discounted given the latest data trends. Official station maxima will resolve the market once fully recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$30,460Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate Busan will peak near 29°C on September 6 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate northeast winds around 15-20 mph, supporting the market's strong 83.5% implied probability for that threshold. Typical early-September highs average 26-27°C, but current observations showing afternoon readings already approaching 27°C and limited cloud cover align with consensus for a modest above-normal spike. Lower probabilities for 30°C or higher reflect model agreement on modest intensification limits from regional sea-surface temperatures and steering patterns, while sub-28°C outcomes remain discounted given the latest data trends. Official station maxima will resolve the market once fully recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,460Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate Busan will peak near 29°C on September 6 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate northeast winds around 15-20 mph, supporting the market's strong 83.5% implied probability for that threshold. Typical early-September highs average 26-27°C, but current observations showing afternoon readings already approaching 27°C and limited cloud cover align with consensus for a modest above-normal spike. Lower probabilities for 30°C or higher reflect model agreement on modest intensification limits from regional sea-surface temperatures and steering patterns, while sub-28°C outcomes remain discounted given the latest data trends. Official station maxima will resolve the market once fully recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti