**The commanding 93.5% market price on cancellation for the France United Left Primary Winner reflects the Socialist Party's July 2026 member vote rejecting participation in the proposed October 11 primary in favor of a closed internal contest alongside Place Publique.** This decision, backed by 55.5% of PS members, followed municipal election tensions and internal opposition to broader alliances, effectively ending prospects for the wider coalition originally involving Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. Key initiators including Clémentine Autain withdrew candidacies in July, acknowledging the process was buried, while La France Insoumise and the Communist Party had never joined. Remaining smaller groups face significant logistical and legitimacy barriers to staging a viable vote. A reversal would require rapid new agreements among holdout parties or an unexpected PS reversal before the scheduled date, though current party positions make such shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAnnullato 93.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$212,616 Vol.
$212,616 Vol.
10 ott 2026
Annullato
94%
Marine Tondelier
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Annullato 93.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$212,616 Vol.
$212,616 Vol.
10 ott 2026
Annullato
$76,903 Vol.
94%
Marine Tondelier
$49,788 Vol.
1%
François Ruffin
$31,112 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Vol.
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Vol.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**The commanding 93.5% market price on cancellation for the France United Left Primary Winner reflects the Socialist Party's July 2026 member vote rejecting participation in the proposed October 11 primary in favor of a closed internal contest alongside Place Publique.** This decision, backed by 55.5% of PS members, followed municipal election tensions and internal opposition to broader alliances, effectively ending prospects for the wider coalition originally involving Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. Key initiators including Clémentine Autain withdrew candidacies in July, acknowledging the process was buried, while La France Insoumise and the Communist Party had never joined. Remaining smaller groups face significant logistical and legitimacy barriers to staging a viable vote. A reversal would require rapid new agreements among holdout parties or an unexpected PS reversal before the scheduled date, though current party positions make such shifts improbable.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$212,616Data di fine
11 ott 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**The commanding 93.5% market price on cancellation for the France United Left Primary Winner reflects the Socialist Party's July 2026 member vote rejecting participation in the proposed October 11 primary in favor of a closed internal contest alongside Place Publique.** This decision, backed by 55.5% of PS members, followed municipal election tensions and internal opposition to broader alliances, effectively ending prospects for the wider coalition originally involving Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. Key initiators including Clémentine Autain withdrew candidacies in July, acknowledging the process was buried, while La France Insoumise and the Communist Party had never joined. Remaining smaller groups face significant logistical and legitimacy barriers to staging a viable vote. A reversal would require rapid new agreements among holdout parties or an unexpected PS reversal before the scheduled date, though current party positions make such shifts improbable.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$212,616Data di fine
11 ott 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**The commanding 93.5% market price on cancellation for the France United Left Primary Winner reflects the Socialist Party's July 2026 member vote rejecting participation in the proposed October 11 primary in favor of a closed internal contest alongside Place Publique.** This decision, backed by 55.5% of PS members, followed municipal election tensions and internal opposition to broader alliances, effectively ending prospects for the wider coalition originally involving Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. Key initiators including Clémentine Autain withdrew candidacies in July, acknowledging the process was buried, while La France Insoumise and the Communist Party had never joined. Remaining smaller groups face significant logistical and legitimacy barriers to staging a viable vote. A reversal would require rapid new agreements among holdout parties or an unexpected PS reversal before the scheduled date, though current party positions make such shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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