Recent US-Iran diplomatic progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a sharp selloff in WTI crude, with futures dropping over 4% intraday to the mid-$76 area as of June 16. This development has compressed near-term supply disruption premiums that previously supported prices above $100, shifting trader focus to the pace of production restarts and inventory rebuilds. The closely matched leading bins—$70–$77 at 29.6% versus $77–$84 at 27.5%—reflect uncertainty around June settlement timing, seasonal demand patterns, and potential last-minute geopolitical or OPEC+ adjustments. Elevated volatility and revised analyst forecasts underscore how quickly risk premiums can unwind once chokepoint concerns ease.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoA cosa si stabilizzerà il petrolio greggio (CL) a giugno?
A cosa si stabilizzerà il petrolio greggio (CL) a giugno?
$70-$77 29.6%
$77-$84 27%
>$84 20%
$63-$70 9.8%
$242,678 Vol.
$242,678 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sotto $42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49–$56
1%
$56-$63
2%
$63-$70
10%
$70-$77
30%
$77-$84
27%
>$84
20%
$70-$77 29.6%
$77-$84 27%
>$84 20%
$63-$70 9.8%
$242,678 Vol.
$242,678 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sotto $42
$22,542 Vol.
<1%
$42-$49
$11,136 Vol.
<1%
$49–$56
$14,022 Vol.
1%
$56-$63
$16,995 Vol.
2%
$63-$70
$30,956 Vol.
10%
$70-$77
$23,608 Vol.
30%
$77-$84
$21,196 Vol.
27%
>$84
$102,222 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent US-Iran diplomatic progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a sharp selloff in WTI crude, with futures dropping over 4% intraday to the mid-$76 area as of June 16. This development has compressed near-term supply disruption premiums that previously supported prices above $100, shifting trader focus to the pace of production restarts and inventory rebuilds. The closely matched leading bins—$70–$77 at 29.6% versus $77–$84 at 27.5%—reflect uncertainty around June settlement timing, seasonal demand patterns, and potential last-minute geopolitical or OPEC+ adjustments. Elevated volatility and revised analyst forecasts underscore how quickly risk premiums can unwind once chokepoint concerns ease.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$242,678Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent US-Iran diplomatic progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a sharp selloff in WTI crude, with futures dropping over 4% intraday to the mid-$76 area as of June 16. This development has compressed near-term supply disruption premiums that previously supported prices above $100, shifting trader focus to the pace of production restarts and inventory rebuilds. The closely matched leading bins—$70–$77 at 29.6% versus $77–$84 at 27.5%—reflect uncertainty around June settlement timing, seasonal demand patterns, and potential last-minute geopolitical or OPEC+ adjustments. Elevated volatility and revised analyst forecasts underscore how quickly risk premiums can unwind once chokepoint concerns ease.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$242,678Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent US-Iran diplomatic progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a sharp selloff in WTI crude, with futures dropping over 4% intraday to the mid-$76 area as of June 16. This development has compressed near-term supply disruption premiums that previously supported prices above $100, shifting trader focus to the pace of production restarts and inventory rebuilds. The closely matched leading bins—$70–$77 at 29.6% versus $77–$84 at 27.5%—reflect uncertainty around June settlement timing, seasonal demand patterns, and potential last-minute geopolitical or OPEC+ adjustments. Elevated volatility and revised analyst forecasts underscore how quickly risk premiums can unwind once chokepoint concerns ease.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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