Geopolitical supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict, including de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC members, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices near $95 per barrel. These constraints have produced sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA reporting consecutive large U.S. stockpile declines that have offset softer demand growth forecasts. Traders are monitoring the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting for any output adjustments, weekly EIA inventory releases, and diplomatic signals on U.S.-Iran negotiations that could ease or sustain the risk premium into month-end. While longer-term forecasts point to lower equilibrium levels around $60–$80 per barrel once flows normalize, near-term price action hinges on the pace of Middle East production recovery and any last-minute shifts in shipping or ceasefire prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPetrolio greggio (CL) sopra ___ fine giugno?
Petrolio greggio (CL) sopra ___ fine giugno?
$134,297 Vol.
30 giu 2026
90 dollari
53%
85 dollari
71%
80 $
82%
75 $
87%
70$
94%
65$
96%
$63
98%
$60
98%
56 dollari
97%
$55
98%
$52
99%
50 dollari
99%
$134,297 Vol.
90 dollari
$26,549 Vol.
53%
85 dollari
$7,089 Vol.
71%
80 $
$6,036 Vol.
82%
75 $
$16,860 Vol.
87%
70$
$20,296 Vol.
94%
65$
$877 Vol.
96%
$63
$9,105 Vol.
98%
$60
$23,495 Vol.
98%
56 dollari
$4,950 Vol.
97%
$55
$3,634 Vol.
98%
$52
$6,332 Vol.
99%
50 dollari
$9,074 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict, including de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC members, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices near $95 per barrel. These constraints have produced sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA reporting consecutive large U.S. stockpile declines that have offset softer demand growth forecasts. Traders are monitoring the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting for any output adjustments, weekly EIA inventory releases, and diplomatic signals on U.S.-Iran negotiations that could ease or sustain the risk premium into month-end. While longer-term forecasts point to lower equilibrium levels around $60–$80 per barrel once flows normalize, near-term price action hinges on the pace of Middle East production recovery and any last-minute shifts in shipping or ceasefire prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$134,297Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict, including de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC members, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices near $95 per barrel. These constraints have produced sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA reporting consecutive large U.S. stockpile declines that have offset softer demand growth forecasts. Traders are monitoring the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting for any output adjustments, weekly EIA inventory releases, and diplomatic signals on U.S.-Iran negotiations that could ease or sustain the risk premium into month-end. While longer-term forecasts point to lower equilibrium levels around $60–$80 per barrel once flows normalize, near-term price action hinges on the pace of Middle East production recovery and any last-minute shifts in shipping or ceasefire prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$134,297Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict, including de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC members, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices near $95 per barrel. These constraints have produced sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA reporting consecutive large U.S. stockpile declines that have offset softer demand growth forecasts. Traders are monitoring the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting for any output adjustments, weekly EIA inventory releases, and diplomatic signals on U.S.-Iran negotiations that could ease or sustain the risk premium into month-end. While longer-term forecasts point to lower equilibrium levels around $60–$80 per barrel once flows normalize, near-term price action hinges on the pace of Middle East production recovery and any last-minute shifts in shipping or ceasefire prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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