Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRamzan Kadyrov 75%
Akhmat Kadyrov 6%
Khalid Nakayev 6%
Adam Kadyrov 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
Ramzan Kadyrov
75%
Akhmat Kadyrov
6%
Khalid Nakayev
6%
Adam Kadyrov
5%
Magomed Daudov
4%
Apti Alaudinov
4%
Ismail Denilkhanov
4%
Adam Delimkhanov
4%
Ramzan Kadyrov 75%
Akhmat Kadyrov 6%
Khalid Nakayev 6%
Adam Kadyrov 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
Ramzan Kadyrov
$671 Vol.
75%
Akhmat Kadyrov
$233 Vol.
6%
Khalid Nakayev
$116 Vol.
6%
Adam Kadyrov
$426 Vol.
5%
Magomed Daudov
$90 Vol.
4%
Apti Alaudinov
$147 Vol.
4%
Ismail Denilkhanov
$133 Vol.
4%
Adam Delimkhanov
$137 Vol.
4%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$1,877Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$1,877Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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