Javokhir Sindarov leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability for the 2026 World Chess Championship title due to his dominant 10/14 victory in the Candidates Tournament, the highest score in the modern double round-robin format, which secured his challenger spot. The 20-year-old Uzbek grandmaster has climbed to world number four with a 2778 rating through consistent classical results and strong showings in rapid and blitz events. In contrast, reigning champion Gukesh Dommaraju has endured a prolonged slump in 2026, posting multiple last-place finishes in classical tournaments and dropping below 2700 in live ratings amid several losses to elite opposition. Sindarov’s superior recent form, rating edge, and unbeaten streak momentum have driven the market positioning ahead of the November-December match in Geneva.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
$67,585 Vol.
$67,585 Vol.
Javokhir Sindarov
70%
Gukesh Dommaraju
30%
$67,585 Vol.
$67,585 Vol.
Javokhir Sindarov
70%
Gukesh Dommaraju
30%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Javokhir Sindarov leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability for the 2026 World Chess Championship title due to his dominant 10/14 victory in the Candidates Tournament, the highest score in the modern double round-robin format, which secured his challenger spot. The 20-year-old Uzbek grandmaster has climbed to world number four with a 2778 rating through consistent classical results and strong showings in rapid and blitz events. In contrast, reigning champion Gukesh Dommaraju has endured a prolonged slump in 2026, posting multiple last-place finishes in classical tournaments and dropping below 2700 in live ratings amid several losses to elite opposition. Sindarov’s superior recent form, rating edge, and unbeaten streak momentum have driven the market positioning ahead of the November-December match in Geneva.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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