Chengdu Rongcheng holds a commanding 12-point lead atop the Chinese Super League table after 26 matches, with 52 points from a 15-7-4 record and a +21 goal difference that reflects sustained attacking output and defensive organization. This margin over second-place Dalian Yingbo, combined with only four fixtures remaining, underpins the market's overwhelming consensus for the league leaders. Chengdu's results include key wins against direct rivals and consistent points accumulation despite occasional draws or narrow defeats in recent weeks. Dalian Yingbo's mid-table inconsistency and head-to-head loss earlier in the campaign limit realistic comeback paths. Only an unprecedented late collapse by Chengdu or multiple upsets across the final rounds could meaningfully shift the implied probability reflected in current pricing.