Jannik Sinner's dominant hard-court record and recent Wimbledon title defense anchor his 53.5% implied probability as the 2026 US Open favorite, reflecting traders' assessment of his elite consistency and surface suitability heading into the North American swing. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 22% amid ongoing wrist injury recovery that has limited his match play since Wimbledon, creating uncertainty around his readiness despite strong early-season results including the Australian Open. Lower-priced contenders such as Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic trail due to less reliable recent hard-court performances and Sinner's head-to-head edge, while emerging players like Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton register minimal market share given limited major pedigree on the surface.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJannik Sinner 54%
Carlos Alcaraz 22%
Alexander Zverev 7.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.8%
$4,831,619 Vol.
$4,831,619 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
54%
Carlos Alcaraz
22%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Ben Shelton
2%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Jannik Sinner 54%
Carlos Alcaraz 22%
Alexander Zverev 7.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.8%
$4,831,619 Vol.
$4,831,619 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
54%
Carlos Alcaraz
22%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Ben Shelton
2%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's dominant hard-court record and recent Wimbledon title defense anchor his 53.5% implied probability as the 2026 US Open favorite, reflecting traders' assessment of his elite consistency and surface suitability heading into the North American swing. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 22% amid ongoing wrist injury recovery that has limited his match play since Wimbledon, creating uncertainty around his readiness despite strong early-season results including the Australian Open. Lower-priced contenders such as Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic trail due to less reliable recent hard-court performances and Sinner's head-to-head edge, while emerging players like Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton register minimal market share given limited major pedigree on the surface.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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