Jannik Sinner’s status as world No. 1 with a 44-3 record and multiple 2026 Masters titles, including Wimbledon, underpins his leading 30% implied probability in the 2026 US Open winner market. His dominant hard-court results and recent form position him ahead of Carlos Alcaraz, the Australian Open champion and defending titleholder at 19%, whose consistency keeps him competitive. Alexander Zverev at 15.4% benefits from strong recent results, while Novak Djokovic at 7.6% draws from experience despite fewer matches. Emerging players like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz sit in the 4-5% range due to solid hard-court showings and ranking gains. Minor injury notes around Sinner have not shifted the trader consensus reflected in these prices ahead of the late-August hard-court major.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJannik Sinner 30%
Carlos Alcaraz 19%
Alexander Zverev 15.6%
Novak Djokovic 7.6%
$7,259,282 Vol.
$7,259,282 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
30%
Carlos Alcaraz
19%
Alexander Zverev
16%
Novak Djokovic
8%
Ben Shelton
5%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Jannik Sinner 30%
Carlos Alcaraz 19%
Alexander Zverev 15.6%
Novak Djokovic 7.6%
$7,259,282 Vol.
$7,259,282 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
30%
Carlos Alcaraz
19%
Alexander Zverev
16%
Novak Djokovic
8%
Ben Shelton
5%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner’s status as world No. 1 with a 44-3 record and multiple 2026 Masters titles, including Wimbledon, underpins his leading 30% implied probability in the 2026 US Open winner market. His dominant hard-court results and recent form position him ahead of Carlos Alcaraz, the Australian Open champion and defending titleholder at 19%, whose consistency keeps him competitive. Alexander Zverev at 15.4% benefits from strong recent results, while Novak Djokovic at 7.6% draws from experience despite fewer matches. Emerging players like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz sit in the 4-5% range due to solid hard-court showings and ranking gains. Minor injury notes around Sinner have not shifted the trader consensus reflected in these prices ahead of the late-August hard-court major.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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