Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 65.5% implied probability for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend, driven by its status as the next major MCU ensemble event with strong pre-release tracking and franchise momentum following the release of early footage. Recent box office data shows Spider-Man: Brand New Day already claiming the year's top spot with a record $360 million domestic debut in early August, creating a clear benchmark that positions Doomsday as the strongest contender to follow. Lower odds for titles like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping reflect their more modest projected starts relative to superhero tentpoles, while the cluster of mid-50% outcomes signals ongoing uncertainty around release timing and competition. Key catalysts ahead include Doomsday's marketing push and any late shifts in audience tracking.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhich movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 34%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$65,927 Vol.
$65,927 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
34%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 34%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$65,927 Vol.
$65,927 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$29,629 Vol.
66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$30,357 Vol.
34%
Toy Story 5
$579 Vol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$482 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,600 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 65.5% implied probability for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend, driven by its status as the next major MCU ensemble event with strong pre-release tracking and franchise momentum following the release of early footage. Recent box office data shows Spider-Man: Brand New Day already claiming the year's top spot with a record $360 million domestic debut in early August, creating a clear benchmark that positions Doomsday as the strongest contender to follow. Lower odds for titles like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping reflect their more modest projected starts relative to superhero tentpoles, while the cluster of mid-50% outcomes signals ongoing uncertainty around release timing and competition. Key catalysts ahead include Doomsday's marketing push and any late shifts in audience tracking.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Volume
$65,927Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 65.5% implied probability for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend, driven by its status as the next major MCU ensemble event with strong pre-release tracking and franchise momentum following the release of early footage. Recent box office data shows Spider-Man: Brand New Day already claiming the year's top spot with a record $360 million domestic debut in early August, creating a clear benchmark that positions Doomsday as the strongest contender to follow. Lower odds for titles like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping reflect their more modest projected starts relative to superhero tentpoles, while the cluster of mid-50% outcomes signals ongoing uncertainty around release timing and competition. Key catalysts ahead include Doomsday's marketing push and any late shifts in audience tracking.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$65,927Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 65.5% implied probability for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend, driven by its status as the next major MCU ensemble event with strong pre-release tracking and franchise momentum following the release of early footage. Recent box office data shows Spider-Man: Brand New Day already claiming the year's top spot with a record $360 million domestic debut in early August, creating a clear benchmark that positions Doomsday as the strongest contender to follow. Lower odds for titles like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping reflect their more modest projected starts relative to superhero tentpoles, while the cluster of mid-50% outcomes signals ongoing uncertainty around release timing and competition. Key catalysts ahead include Doomsday's marketing push and any late shifts in audience tracking.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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