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icon for Where will it rain on August 9?

Where will it rain on August 9?

icon for Where will it rain on August 9?

Where will it rain on August 9?

Aug 10

Aug 11

Aug 10

Aug 11

BARU
Aug 10, 2026
Polymarket

$1,218 Vol.

Polymarket

Singapore

$0 Vol.

50%

Jakarta

$5 Vol.

47%

Mumbai

$0 Vol.

51%

Manila

$376 Vol.

52%

Tokyo

$0 Vol.

51%

Lagos

$0 Vol.

51%

Bangkok

$1 Vol.

50%

Hong Kong

$1 Vol.

50%

Seoul (Incheon)

$56 Vol.

50%

Taipei

$496 Vol.

52%

Colombo

$1 Vol.

51%

Dhaka

$1 Vol.

51%

Kuala Lumpur

$1 Vol.

50%

London

$181 Vol.

46%

Dubai

$98 Vol.

95%

São Paulo

$0 Vol.

51%

Sydney

$0 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Current forecasts indicate elevated precipitation likelihoods in Sydney from a strong cold front and cloudband moving across southeast Australia, alongside persistent monsoon moisture and showers in Taipei amid typical August humidity. São Paulo faces drier conditions as the driest month locally, with mostly clear skies and minimal rain chances per regional models. NOAA and Bureau of Meteorology guidance highlight these steering patterns and frontal boundaries as key drivers for August 9 outcomes, with traders monitoring real-time satellite and radar updates through the day for any model shifts in landfall or intensity. Historical climatology shows August variability in these regions, underscoring uncertainty in exact totals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.

A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.

Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$1,218
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ET

Sumber Resolusi

www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCTP

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Current forecasts indicate elevated precipitation likelihoods in Sydney from a strong cold front and cloudband moving across southeast Australia, alongside persistent monsoon moisture and showers in Taipei amid typical August humidity. São Paulo faces drier conditions as the driest month locally, with mostly clear skies and minimal rain chances per regional models. NOAA and Bureau of Meteorology guidance highlight these steering patterns and frontal boundaries as key drivers for August 9 outcomes, with traders monitoring real-time satellite and radar updates through the day for any model shifts in landfall or intensity. Historical climatology shows August variability in these regions, underscoring uncertainty in exact totals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.

A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.

Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$1,218
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ET

Sumber Resolusi

www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCTP

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".

Terkait

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Will it rain in Singapore on August 10?

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Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in August?

46%
icon for Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in August?

Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in August?

41%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Where will it rain on August 9?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Sydney" di 54%, diikuti oleh "Taipei" di 53%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 54¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 54% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Where will it rain on August 9?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 6, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Where will it rain on August 9?," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Where will it rain on August 9?" adalah "Sydney" di 54%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 54% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Taipei" di 53%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Where will it rain on August 9?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.