Current short-range model guidance from global ensembles and regional meteorological agencies indicates scattered convective activity tied to the ongoing East and Southeast Asian monsoon circulation will likely determine precipitation on August 10. Moisture transport from the western Pacific and South China Sea, combined with diurnal heating over land, favors isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across tropical and subtropical latitudes, though exact locations remain sensitive to steering patterns and any weak tropical disturbances. Official forecasts from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and Hong Kong Observatory, along with updated 00Z and 12Z model runs, will provide the key verification data ahead of market resolution. Historical August climatology shows elevated baseline probabilities for measurable rain at these sites, tempered by day-to-day variability in monsoon strength.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhere will it rain on August 10?
Where will it rain on August 10?
Singapore
50%
Jakarta
50%
Mumbai
50%
Manila
50%
Tokyo
50%
Lagos
50%
Bangkok
50%
Hong Kong
50%
Seoul (Incheon)
50%
Taipei
50%
Colombo
50%
Dhaka
50%
Kuala Lumpur
50%
London
50%
Dubai
50%
São Paulo
50%
Sydney
50%
$35 Vol.
Singapore
50%
Jakarta
50%
Mumbai
50%
Manila
50%
Tokyo
50%
Lagos
50%
Bangkok
50%
Hong Kong
50%
Seoul (Incheon)
50%
Taipei
50%
Colombo
50%
Dhaka
50%
Kuala Lumpur
50%
London
50%
Dubai
50%
São Paulo
50%
Sydney
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIIIResolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Sumber Resolusi
www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIIIResolver
0x65070BE91...Current short-range model guidance from global ensembles and regional meteorological agencies indicates scattered convective activity tied to the ongoing East and Southeast Asian monsoon circulation will likely determine precipitation on August 10. Moisture transport from the western Pacific and South China Sea, combined with diurnal heating over land, favors isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across tropical and subtropical latitudes, though exact locations remain sensitive to steering patterns and any weak tropical disturbances. Official forecasts from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and Hong Kong Observatory, along with updated 00Z and 12Z model runs, will provide the key verification data ahead of market resolution. Historical August climatology shows elevated baseline probabilities for measurable rain at these sites, tempered by day-to-day variability in monsoon strength.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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