Recent leaks from OpenAI’s Codex backend logs and internal staff comments by chief scientist Jakub Pachocki have positioned GPT-5.6 as a meaningful efficiency and safety upgrade over the April 2026 GPT-5.5 release, fueling trader consensus around a June 22–28 window. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Google Gemini, plus OpenAI’s accelerated post-GPT-5 cadence and planned ChatGPT overhaul tied to IPO preparations, reinforce expectations of an imminent public rollout. With no official confirmation yet, the market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of credible reporting on internal testing rather than speculation, though last-minute delays remain possible given historical model timelines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJune 22–June 28 65.3%
Not released by June 28 24.8%
June 15–June 21 11%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$175,924 Vol.
$175,924 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
June 8–June 14
<1%
June 15–June 21
11%
June 22–June 28
65%
Not released by June 28
25%
June 22–June 28 65.3%
Not released by June 28 24.8%
June 15–June 21 11%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$175,924 Vol.
$175,924 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
June 8–June 14
$41,515 Vol.
<1%
June 15–June 21
$32,745 Vol.
11%
June 22–June 28
$24,790 Vol.
65%
Not released by June 28
$34,603 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks from OpenAI’s Codex backend logs and internal staff comments by chief scientist Jakub Pachocki have positioned GPT-5.6 as a meaningful efficiency and safety upgrade over the April 2026 GPT-5.5 release, fueling trader consensus around a June 22–28 window. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Google Gemini, plus OpenAI’s accelerated post-GPT-5 cadence and planned ChatGPT overhaul tied to IPO preparations, reinforce expectations of an imminent public rollout. With no official confirmation yet, the market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of credible reporting on internal testing rather than speculation, though last-minute delays remain possible given historical model timelines.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Volume
$175,924Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks from OpenAI’s Codex backend logs and internal staff comments by chief scientist Jakub Pachocki have positioned GPT-5.6 as a meaningful efficiency and safety upgrade over the April 2026 GPT-5.5 release, fueling trader consensus around a June 22–28 window. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Google Gemini, plus OpenAI’s accelerated post-GPT-5 cadence and planned ChatGPT overhaul tied to IPO preparations, reinforce expectations of an imminent public rollout. With no official confirmation yet, the market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of credible reporting on internal testing rather than speculation, though last-minute delays remain possible given historical model timelines.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$175,924Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent leaks from OpenAI’s Codex backend logs and internal staff comments by chief scientist Jakub Pachocki have positioned GPT-5.6 as a meaningful efficiency and safety upgrade over the April 2026 GPT-5.5 release, fueling trader consensus around a June 22–28 window. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Google Gemini, plus OpenAI’s accelerated post-GPT-5 cadence and planned ChatGPT overhaul tied to IPO preparations, reinforce expectations of an imminent public rollout. With no official confirmation yet, the market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of credible reporting on internal testing rather than speculation, though last-minute delays remain possible given historical model timelines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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