Recent cooling in U.S. inflation data has lifted gold futures above $4,400 per ounce in August 2026, trimming September Fed rate-hike odds to roughly 30 percent and easing pressure from real yields. Traders are watching the August CPI release and subsequent FOMC communications for confirmation of a steady policy path around the 3.50–3.75 percent range, as persistent inflation or renewed hawkish signals could reverse the rally. Structural demand from central banks and geopolitical uncertainty continues to support prices, yet forecasts for December 2026 diverge sharply—from the mid-$4,000s to $6,000—reflecting uncertainty over monetary easing timing and dollar strength. Market-implied odds embed these crosscurrents rather than point predictions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhat will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
$1,327,484 Vol.
↑ $15,000
2%
↑ $12,000
2%
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,000
4%
↑ $7,000
6%
↑ $6,000
12%
↑ $5,000
52%
↑ $4,500
99%
↓ $3,500
13%
↓ $3,000
3%
↓ $2,500
3%
$1,327,484 Vol.
↑ $15,000
2%
↑ $12,000
2%
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,000
4%
↑ $7,000
6%
↑ $6,000
12%
↑ $5,000
52%
↑ $4,500
99%
↓ $3,500
13%
↓ $3,000
3%
↓ $2,500
3%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent cooling in U.S. inflation data has lifted gold futures above $4,400 per ounce in August 2026, trimming September Fed rate-hike odds to roughly 30 percent and easing pressure from real yields. Traders are watching the August CPI release and subsequent FOMC communications for confirmation of a steady policy path around the 3.50–3.75 percent range, as persistent inflation or renewed hawkish signals could reverse the rally. Structural demand from central banks and geopolitical uncertainty continues to support prices, yet forecasts for December 2026 diverge sharply—from the mid-$4,000s to $6,000—reflecting uncertainty over monetary easing timing and dollar strength. Market-implied odds embed these crosscurrents rather than point predictions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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