U.S. policy under the current administration favors a phased stabilization process in Venezuela following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro and recognition of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president. President Trump has publicly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and respect needed to lead, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized economic recovery and transition timelines without endorsing her recognition. Machado remains in exile, has declined participation in U.S.-backed talks, and faces reported White House concerns over potential unrest tied to her return. These positions, combined with the absence of any formal acknowledgment of Machado as leader through mid-2026, underpin trader consensus against recognition by year-end. Shifts could still arise from unexpected electoral breakthroughs, diplomatic realignments, or internal Venezuelan power changes before December 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui4% peluang
$179,084 Vol.
$179,084 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
4% peluang
$179,084 Vol.
$179,084 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. policy under the current administration favors a phased stabilization process in Venezuela following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro and recognition of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president. President Trump has publicly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and respect needed to lead, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized economic recovery and transition timelines without endorsing her recognition. Machado remains in exile, has declined participation in U.S.-backed talks, and faces reported White House concerns over potential unrest tied to her return. These positions, combined with the absence of any formal acknowledgment of Machado as leader through mid-2026, underpin trader consensus against recognition by year-end. Shifts could still arise from unexpected electoral breakthroughs, diplomatic realignments, or internal Venezuelan power changes before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Volume
$179,084Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. policy under the current administration favors a phased stabilization process in Venezuela following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro and recognition of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president. President Trump has publicly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and respect needed to lead, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized economic recovery and transition timelines without endorsing her recognition. Machado remains in exile, has declined participation in U.S.-backed talks, and faces reported White House concerns over potential unrest tied to her return. These positions, combined with the absence of any formal acknowledgment of Machado as leader through mid-2026, underpin trader consensus against recognition by year-end. Shifts could still arise from unexpected electoral breakthroughs, diplomatic realignments, or internal Venezuelan power changes before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$179,084Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. policy under the current administration favors a phased stabilization process in Venezuela following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro and recognition of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president. President Trump has publicly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and respect needed to lead, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized economic recovery and transition timelines without endorsing her recognition. Machado remains in exile, has declined participation in U.S.-backed talks, and faces reported White House concerns over potential unrest tied to her return. These positions, combined with the absence of any formal acknowledgment of Machado as leader through mid-2026, underpin trader consensus against recognition by year-end. Shifts could still arise from unexpected electoral breakthroughs, diplomatic realignments, or internal Venezuelan power changes before December 31.
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