Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following 2025 redistricting and the retirement of incumbent Troy Nehls, with the March 2026 Republican primary delivering nominee Trever Nehls as the clear general-election frontrunner against Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott. The district's voting history, including substantial Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpins trader consensus that the GOP will hold the open seat in the November 2026 election. Limited Democratic resources and absence of competitive polling shifts have kept the race out of play. Potential challenges could include an unforeseen national environment favoring Democrats, late-cycle candidate issues, or unusually high turnout shifts in key suburban counties, though these remain low-probability events given the structural partisan baseline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
$15,511 Vol.
$15,511 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$15,511 Vol.
$15,511 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,922 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$9,589 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following 2025 redistricting and the retirement of incumbent Troy Nehls, with the March 2026 Republican primary delivering nominee Trever Nehls as the clear general-election frontrunner against Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott. The district's voting history, including substantial Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpins trader consensus that the GOP will hold the open seat in the November 2026 election. Limited Democratic resources and absence of competitive polling shifts have kept the race out of play. Potential challenges could include an unforeseen national environment favoring Democrats, late-cycle candidate issues, or unusually high turnout shifts in key suburban counties, though these remain low-probability events given the structural partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$15,511Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following 2025 redistricting and the retirement of incumbent Troy Nehls, with the March 2026 Republican primary delivering nominee Trever Nehls as the clear general-election frontrunner against Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott. The district's voting history, including substantial Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpins trader consensus that the GOP will hold the open seat in the November 2026 election. Limited Democratic resources and absence of competitive polling shifts have kept the race out of play. Potential challenges could include an unforeseen national environment favoring Democrats, late-cycle candidate issues, or unusually high turnout shifts in key suburban counties, though these remain low-probability events given the structural partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,511Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following 2025 redistricting and the retirement of incumbent Troy Nehls, with the March 2026 Republican primary delivering nominee Trever Nehls as the clear general-election frontrunner against Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott. The district's voting history, including substantial Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpins trader consensus that the GOP will hold the open seat in the November 2026 election. Limited Democratic resources and absence of competitive polling shifts have kept the race out of play. Potential challenges could include an unforeseen national environment favoring Democrats, late-cycle candidate issues, or unusually high turnout shifts in key suburban counties, though these remain low-probability events given the structural partisan baseline.
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