Recent polling averages place the Sweden Democrats near 20% support ahead of the September 13 election, with limited movement across major surveys from June to July. Stability reflects entrenched voter alignments on crime, immigration, and economic concerns, while the governing Tidö bloc and red-green opposition maintain competitive bloc positioning that limits sharp swings in SD's individual share. The equal weighting across bins signals trader consensus on persistent uncertainty, as final debates, turnout patterns among key demographics, and any late shifts in coalition dynamics could still separate outcomes within or beyond the 18-20% range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiSweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
<16% 37%
16-18% 37%
18-20% 37%
20%+ 37%
<16%
37%
16-18%
37%
18-20%
37%
20%+
37%
<16% 37%
16-18% 37%
18-20% 37%
20%+ 37%
<16%
37%
16-18%
37%
18-20%
37%
20%+
37%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Sweden Democrats near 20% support ahead of the September 13 election, with limited movement across major surveys from June to July. Stability reflects entrenched voter alignments on crime, immigration, and economic concerns, while the governing Tidö bloc and red-green opposition maintain competitive bloc positioning that limits sharp swings in SD's individual share. The equal weighting across bins signals trader consensus on persistent uncertainty, as final debates, turnout patterns among key demographics, and any late shifts in coalition dynamics could still separate outcomes within or beyond the 18-20% range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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