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icon for Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

icon for Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

71% peluang
Polymarket

$41,595 Vol.

71% peluang
Polymarket

$41,595 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s repeated public statements since late 2025 have shaped trader expectations for an early Serbian parliamentary election. He has floated dates in May or December 2026, by Vidovdan in June 2026, or during autumn 2026, and in June 2026 announced his intention to resign within weeks while signaling that early parliamentary and presidential votes would follow. Ongoing student-led protests since late 2024 have sustained pressure for a snap poll ahead of the regular December 2027 deadline. These announcements, combined with consultations involving coalition partners and the constitutional authority of the president to dissolve the National Assembly, underpin the 79% implied probability that elections will be called before 2027. Timing remains subject to formal dissolution and scheduling.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$41,595
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s repeated public statements since late 2025 have shaped trader expectations for an early Serbian parliamentary election. He has floated dates in May or December 2026, by Vidovdan in June 2026, or during autumn 2026, and in June 2026 announced his intention to resign within weeks while signaling that early parliamentary and presidential votes would follow. Ongoing student-led protests since late 2024 have sustained pressure for a snap poll ahead of the regular December 2027 deadline. These announcements, combined with consultations involving coalition partners and the constitutional authority of the president to dissolve the National Assembly, underpin the 79% implied probability that elections will be called before 2027. Timing remains subject to formal dissolution and scheduling.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$41,595
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 79% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 79¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 79% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $41.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 12, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?" adalah 79% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 79% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.