Recent August CPI data showed a 0.4% monthly gain, aligning with forecasts amid elevated gasoline prices linked to Middle East supply disruptions and trade tensions. These factors, alongside AI-driven cost pressures in select goods, have lifted consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% and kept headline readings sticky near 3.4% year-over-year. With the September release due October 14, traders weigh the potential for continued energy pass-through against possible moderation in shelter and core goods, producing closely matched probabilities for 0.4% or 0.5% monthly increases. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether recent shocks will sustain momentum or ease, consistent with the Cleveland Fed’s 3.43% September nowcast.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui0.5% 36%
0.4% 29%
0.6% 14%
0.2% 7%
BARU
BARU
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
3%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
7%
0.3%
5%
0.4%
29%
0.5%
36%
0.6%
14%
0.7%
5%
≥0.8%
5%
0.5% 36%
0.4% 29%
0.6% 14%
0.2% 7%
BARU
BARU
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
$132 Vol.
3%
0.1%
$110 Vol.
5%
0.2%
$149 Vol.
7%
0.3%
$150 Vol.
5%
0.4%
$886 Vol.
29%
0.5%
$3,068 Vol.
36%
0.6%
$149 Vol.
14%
0.7%
$130 Vol.
5%
≥0.8%
$746 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showed a 0.4% monthly gain, aligning with forecasts amid elevated gasoline prices linked to Middle East supply disruptions and trade tensions. These factors, alongside AI-driven cost pressures in select goods, have lifted consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% and kept headline readings sticky near 3.4% year-over-year. With the September release due October 14, traders weigh the potential for continued energy pass-through against possible moderation in shelter and core goods, producing closely matched probabilities for 0.4% or 0.5% monthly increases. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether recent shocks will sustain momentum or ease, consistent with the Cleveland Fed’s 3.43% September nowcast.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Volume
$5,520Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showed a 0.4% monthly gain, aligning with forecasts amid elevated gasoline prices linked to Middle East supply disruptions and trade tensions. These factors, alongside AI-driven cost pressures in select goods, have lifted consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% and kept headline readings sticky near 3.4% year-over-year. With the September release due October 14, traders weigh the potential for continued energy pass-through against possible moderation in shelter and core goods, producing closely matched probabilities for 0.4% or 0.5% monthly increases. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether recent shocks will sustain momentum or ease, consistent with the Cleveland Fed’s 3.43% September nowcast.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$5,520Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data showed a 0.4% monthly gain, aligning with forecasts amid elevated gasoline prices linked to Middle East supply disruptions and trade tensions. These factors, alongside AI-driven cost pressures in select goods, have lifted consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% and kept headline readings sticky near 3.4% year-over-year. With the September release due October 14, traders weigh the potential for continued energy pass-through against possible moderation in shelter and core goods, producing closely matched probabilities for 0.4% or 0.5% monthly increases. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether recent shocks will sustain momentum or ease, consistent with the Cleveland Fed’s 3.43% September nowcast.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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