Recent polling for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election places the SPD vote share in the 7-9% range, consistent with the market's leading outcome. The party, currently the junior partner in the CDU-SPD-FDP state government, has recorded figures between 7% and 9% across late August and early September surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap, reflecting modest fluctuations around its 2021 result of 8.4%. Broader eastern German trends, strong AfD support above 40%, and limited momentum for the SPD's state-level messaging have kept its numbers stable without major recent catalysts pushing it higher or below the 5% threshold. The 5-7% and 9%+ bands capture smaller probabilities tied to final-week turnout shifts or undecided voters.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui7-9% 56%
5-7% 33%
9%+ 12.7%
<5% 1.3%
$97,625 Vol.
$97,625 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<5%
1%
5-7%
33%
7-9%
56%
9%+
13%
7-9% 56%
5-7% 33%
9%+ 12.7%
<5% 1.3%
$97,625 Vol.
$97,625 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<5%
$12,858 Vol.
1%
5-7%
$30,737 Vol.
33%
7-9%
$33,250 Vol.
56%
9%+
$20,781 Vol.
13%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election places the SPD vote share in the 7-9% range, consistent with the market's leading outcome. The party, currently the junior partner in the CDU-SPD-FDP state government, has recorded figures between 7% and 9% across late August and early September surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap, reflecting modest fluctuations around its 2021 result of 8.4%. Broader eastern German trends, strong AfD support above 40%, and limited momentum for the SPD's state-level messaging have kept its numbers stable without major recent catalysts pushing it higher or below the 5% threshold. The 5-7% and 9%+ bands capture smaller probabilities tied to final-week turnout shifts or undecided voters.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Volume
$97,625Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election places the SPD vote share in the 7-9% range, consistent with the market's leading outcome. The party, currently the junior partner in the CDU-SPD-FDP state government, has recorded figures between 7% and 9% across late August and early September surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap, reflecting modest fluctuations around its 2021 result of 8.4%. Broader eastern German trends, strong AfD support above 40%, and limited momentum for the SPD's state-level messaging have kept its numbers stable without major recent catalysts pushing it higher or below the 5% threshold. The 5-7% and 9%+ bands capture smaller probabilities tied to final-week turnout shifts or undecided voters.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$97,625Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election places the SPD vote share in the 7-9% range, consistent with the market's leading outcome. The party, currently the junior partner in the CDU-SPD-FDP state government, has recorded figures between 7% and 9% across late August and early September surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap, reflecting modest fluctuations around its 2021 result of 8.4%. Broader eastern German trends, strong AfD support above 40%, and limited momentum for the SPD's state-level messaging have kept its numbers stable without major recent catalysts pushing it higher or below the 5% threshold. The 5-7% and 9%+ bands capture smaller probabilities tied to final-week turnout shifts or undecided voters.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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