Skip to main content
icon for Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place

Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place

Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place

Ciro Nogueira 28%

Marcelo Castro 22%

Julio Cesar 14.8%

Francinaldo Leão 3.8%

Polymarket

$21,113 Vol.

Ciro Nogueira 28%

Marcelo Castro 22%

Julio Cesar 14.8%

Francinaldo Leão 3.8%

Polymarket

$21,113 Vol.

icon for Ciro Nogueira

Ciro Nogueira

$7,347 Vol.

28%

icon for Marcelo Castro

Marcelo Castro

$3,824 Vol.

22%

icon for Julio Cesar

Julio Cesar

$1,761 Vol.

15%

icon for Francinaldo Leão

Francinaldo Leão

$508 Vol.

4%

icon for Alexandre Mariano

Alexandre Mariano

$480 Vol.

1%

icon for Toinho Dufrango

Toinho Dufrango

$490 Vol.

1%

icon for Maria Madalena Nunes

Maria Madalena Nunes

$475 Vol.

1%

icon for Tiago Junqueira

Tiago Junqueira

$491 Vol.

1%

icon for Cloves José

Cloves José

$489 Vol.

1%

icon for Irmão Evandro Marques

Irmão Evandro Marques

$480 Vol.

1%

icon for Jardenya Bezerra

Jardenya Bezerra

$490 Vol.

1%

icon for Pastor Sena

Pastor Sena

$487 Vol.

1%

icon for Antônio José Lira

Antônio José Lira

$489 Vol.

<1%

icon for Major Paulo Roberto

Major Paulo Roberto

$500 Vol.

<1%

icon for Missionário Evandro Craveiro

Missionário Evandro Craveiro

$474 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dionisio Carvalho

Dionisio Carvalho

$480 Vol.

<1%

icon for Antônio Barros

Antônio Barros

$480 Vol.

<1%

icon for Danniel Rocha

Danniel Rocha

$490 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Lopes

Jorge Lopes

$455 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pedro Laurentino

Pedro Laurentino

$423 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Datafolha and GP1 show Ciro Nogueira (PP), Marcelo Castro (MDB), and Júlio César (PSD) in a technical tie for Piauí’s two Senate seats, with the incumbents seeking re-election alongside the federal deputy amid 20 total candidates. This fragmented field and narrow margins in stimulated voting scenarios sustain trader consensus around a close contest for second place. Late-August surveys indicate Ciro consolidating first while Marcelo and Júlio remain locked in the battle for the remaining spot, with limited movement from smaller contenders. Upcoming campaign events and any further polling releases before the October vote could shift positioning among these frontrunners.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$21,113
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Datafolha and GP1 show Ciro Nogueira (PP), Marcelo Castro (MDB), and Júlio César (PSD) in a technical tie for Piauí’s two Senate seats, with the incumbents seeking re-election alongside the federal deputy amid 20 total candidates. This fragmented field and narrow margins in stimulated voting scenarios sustain trader consensus around a close contest for second place. Late-August surveys indicate Ciro consolidating first while Marcelo and Júlio remain locked in the battle for the remaining spot, with limited movement from smaller contenders. Upcoming campaign events and any further polling releases before the October vote could shift positioning among these frontrunners.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$21,113
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 20 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ciro Nogueira" di 28%, diikuti oleh "Marcelo Castro" di 22%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 28¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place" telah menghasilkan $21.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place," jelajahi 20 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah "Ciro Nogueira" di 28%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Marcelo Castro" di 22%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.