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Pemilihan Umum·Prancis

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Pemilihan Umum·Prancis

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$295,804 Vol.

Apr 16, 2027
Polymarket

$295,804 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8,680 Vol.

95%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$25,484 Vol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$6,973 Vol.

86%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$14,452 Vol.

85%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,614 Vol.

81%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$9,482 Vol.

77%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,826 Vol.

63%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$7,957 Vol.

57%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,597 Vol.

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$6,773 Vol.

56%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$14,209 Vol.

42%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,776 Vol.

33%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$9,956 Vol.

32%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$11,296 Vol.

32%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$10,217 Vol.

31%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$6,992 Vol.

27%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$3,599 Vol.

18%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$21,455 Vol.

13%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,011 Vol.

13%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$9,453 Vol.

12%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$6,172 Vol.

12%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$8,504 Vol.

12%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$4,697 Vol.

10%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,161 Vol.

8%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$3,119 Vol.

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,341 Vol.

8%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$7,983 Vol.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,824 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,596 Vol.

7%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$12,661 Vol.

6%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,018 Vol.

6%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$1,075 Vol.

6%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$681 Vol.

5%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$3,609 Vol.

5%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$595 Vol.

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$4,400 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$364 Vol.

3%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$3,088 Vol.

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,598 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$1,934 Vol.

3%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$20,160 Vol.

3%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$6,512 Vol.

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$2,849 Vol.

3%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$829 Vol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$994 Vol.

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,236 Vol.

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential race features an unusually fragmented field of declared and potential candidates, with the first round set for April 18. National Rally figures Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella lead polling and face fewer barriers to ballot access following the partial reduction of Le Pen's embezzlement-related restrictions. On the right, The Republicans endorsed Bruno Retailleau in April 2026 after an internal vote, while center-right figures including Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have launched bids amid ongoing selection disputes. The left remains divided, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon declared and a United Left primary scheduled for October 2026 unlikely to produce a single nominee. These dynamics, combined with Macron's term-limit ineligibility and party-level maneuvering, shape trader focus on which major contenders will ultimately qualify.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$295,804
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 17, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential race features an unusually fragmented field of declared and potential candidates, with the first round set for April 18. National Rally figures Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella lead polling and face fewer barriers to ballot access following the partial reduction of Le Pen's embezzlement-related restrictions. On the right, The Republicans endorsed Bruno Retailleau in April 2026 after an internal vote, while center-right figures including Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have launched bids amid ongoing selection disputes. The left remains divided, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon declared and a United Left primary scheduled for October 2026 unlikely to produce a single nominee. These dynamics, combined with Macron's term-limit ineligibility and party-level maneuvering, shape trader focus on which major contenders will ultimately qualify.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$295,804
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 17, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Terkait

icon for Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

93%
icon for Apakah Marine Le Pen akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?

Apakah Marine Le Pen akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?

33%
Ya
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

87%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 46+ hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" di 95%, diikuti oleh "Marine Le Pen" di 88%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 95¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 95% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" telah menghasilkan $295.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 22, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," jelajahi 46+ hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" adalah "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" di 95%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 95% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Marine Le Pen" di 88%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.