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Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Prancis

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Prancis

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$64,746 Vol.

Apr 22, 2027
Polymarket

$64,746 Vol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$1,418 Vol.

61%

Jordan Bardella

$4,893 Vol.

8%

Michel Barnier

$228 Vol.

12%

Valérie Pécresse

$511 Vol.

5%

Élisabeth Borne

$320 Vol.

14%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$587 Vol.

3%

Jean Castex

$671 Vol.

5%

Gérald Darmanin

$863 Vol.

3%

Sébastien Lecornu

$2,054 Vol.

18%

François Bayrou

$553 Vol.

5%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$547 Vol.

47%

Carole Delga

$184 Vol.

12%

Olivier Faure

$2,047 Vol.

37%

François Hollande

$1,029 Vol.

34%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,654 Vol.

93%

Manuel Bompard

$2,929 Vol.

6%

Mathilde Panot

$17,061 Vol.

7%

Dominique de Villepin

$247 Vol.

53%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-2026, France’s 2027 presidential race has seen several high-profile announcements that shape trader focus on further declarations before year-end. Marine Le Pen confirmed her candidacy in July after an appeals court eased restrictions tied to her embezzlement conviction, positioning the Rassemblement National prominently in polls. Jean-Luc Mélenchon declared in May for La France Insoumise, while center-right figures including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Bruno Retailleau (nominated by The Republicans in April) have also entered. Election dates were fixed in July for April and May 2027, and emerging disinformation campaigns targeting centrist contenders highlight risks of volatility. Fragmented coalitions and legal or party-primary hurdles could prompt additional late-2026 entries from left or moderate-right contenders.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$64,746
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 23, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-2026, France’s 2027 presidential race has seen several high-profile announcements that shape trader focus on further declarations before year-end. Marine Le Pen confirmed her candidacy in July after an appeals court eased restrictions tied to her embezzlement conviction, positioning the Rassemblement National prominently in polls. Jean-Luc Mélenchon declared in May for La France Insoumise, while center-right figures including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Bruno Retailleau (nominated by The Republicans in April) have also entered. Election dates were fixed in July for April and May 2027, and emerging disinformation campaigns targeting centrist contenders highlight risks of volatility. Fragmented coalitions and legal or party-primary hurdles could prompt additional late-2026 entries from left or moderate-right contenders.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$64,746
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 23, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Terkait

icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

95%
icon for Apakah Marine Le Pen akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?

Apakah Marine Le Pen akan memenangkan pemilihan presiden Prancis 2027?

33%
Ya
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

87%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 21 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Gabriel Attal" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" di 100%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $64.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 22, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?," jelajahi 21 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" adalah "Gabriel Attal" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" di 100%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.