Recent polling averages place Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton nearly tied in the November 2026 Ohio governor race, with most surveys from June and early July showing margins under 3 points and ratings from Cook Political Report classifying the contest as a toss-up. Acton’s strong name recognition in public health circles and Ramaswamy’s primary performance have kept the race competitive in a state that has trended Republican yet remains sensitive to turnout and suburban shifts. Limited major campaign events or endorsements since the May primaries have prevented either side from building separation, sustaining trader pricing near even odds for narrow victory margins. Scheduled fall debates and potential late-cycle economic or national political developments could widen the gap if one candidate consolidates key voting blocs more effectively than current data indicate.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOhio Governor Election Margin of Victory
Republican 3-6% 44%
Republican 9-12% 43%
Democrat 3-6% 43%
Democrat 9-12% 41%

Republican 12%+
40%

Republican 9-12%
43%

Republican 6-9%
40%

Republican 3-6%
44%

Republican 0-3%
41%

Democrat 0-3%
38%

Democrat 3-6%
43%

Democrat 6-9%
39%

Democrat 9-12%
41%

Democrat 12%+
20%
Republican 3-6% 44%
Republican 9-12% 43%
Democrat 3-6% 43%
Democrat 9-12% 41%

Republican 12%+
40%

Republican 9-12%
43%

Republican 6-9%
40%

Republican 3-6%
44%

Republican 0-3%
41%

Democrat 0-3%
38%

Democrat 3-6%
43%

Democrat 6-9%
39%

Democrat 9-12%
41%

Democrat 12%+
20%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton nearly tied in the November 2026 Ohio governor race, with most surveys from June and early July showing margins under 3 points and ratings from Cook Political Report classifying the contest as a toss-up. Acton’s strong name recognition in public health circles and Ramaswamy’s primary performance have kept the race competitive in a state that has trended Republican yet remains sensitive to turnout and suburban shifts. Limited major campaign events or endorsements since the May primaries have prevented either side from building separation, sustaining trader pricing near even odds for narrow victory margins. Scheduled fall debates and potential late-cycle economic or national political developments could widen the gap if one candidate consolidates key voting blocs more effectively than current data indicate.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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