Recent generic congressional ballot polling shows Democrats holding a consistent 6- to 7-point national lead as of mid-August 2026, reflecting the typical midterm penalty against the president's party. With Republicans defending a narrow House majority amid dozens of competitive districts, forecasters note this environment favors Democratic gains in the popular vote. Cook Political Report and other ratings highlight more Republican-held seats at risk, while redistricting adjustments in key states have had limited net impact so far. Trader consensus on the Polymarket outcomes aligns with these trends, pricing modest-to-moderate Democratic margins most heavily while leaving substantial probability in "Other" for alternative scenarios.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiDemocrats 8-10% 27%
Democrats 10-12% 22%
Democrats 6-8% 21%
Democrats 4-6% 12%
$119,825 Vol.
$119,825 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrats 16%+
1%
Democrats 14-16%
1%
Democrats 12-14%
7%
Democrats 10-12%
22%
Democrats 8-10%
27%
Democrats 6-8%
21%
Democrats 4-6%
12%
Democrats 2-4%
6%
Democrats 0-2%
2%
Republicans 0-2%
6%
Republicans 2-4%
3%
Republicans 4-6%
1%
Republicans 6%+
2%
Democrats 8-10% 27%
Democrats 10-12% 22%
Democrats 6-8% 21%
Democrats 4-6% 12%
$119,825 Vol.
$119,825 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrats 16%+
$3,158 Vol.
1%
Democrats 14-16%
$2,466 Vol.
1%
Democrats 12-14%
$4,106 Vol.
7%
Democrats 10-12%
$8,035 Vol.
22%
Democrats 8-10%
$13,886 Vol.
27%
Democrats 6-8%
$13,942 Vol.
21%
Democrats 4-6%
$5,284 Vol.
12%
Democrats 2-4%
$14,161 Vol.
6%
Democrats 0-2%
$13,479 Vol.
2%
Republicans 0-2%
$5,143 Vol.
6%
Republicans 2-4%
$29,530 Vol.
3%
Republicans 4-6%
$2,878 Vol.
1%
Republicans 6%+
$3,756 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent generic congressional ballot polling shows Democrats holding a consistent 6- to 7-point national lead as of mid-August 2026, reflecting the typical midterm penalty against the president's party. With Republicans defending a narrow House majority amid dozens of competitive districts, forecasters note this environment favors Democratic gains in the popular vote. Cook Political Report and other ratings highlight more Republican-held seats at risk, while redistricting adjustments in key states have had limited net impact so far. Trader consensus on the Polymarket outcomes aligns with these trends, pricing modest-to-moderate Democratic margins most heavily while leaving substantial probability in "Other" for alternative scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$119,825Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent generic congressional ballot polling shows Democrats holding a consistent 6- to 7-point national lead as of mid-August 2026, reflecting the typical midterm penalty against the president's party. With Republicans defending a narrow House majority amid dozens of competitive districts, forecasters note this environment favors Democratic gains in the popular vote. Cook Political Report and other ratings highlight more Republican-held seats at risk, while redistricting adjustments in key states have had limited net impact so far. Trader consensus on the Polymarket outcomes aligns with these trends, pricing modest-to-moderate Democratic margins most heavily while leaving substantial probability in "Other" for alternative scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$119,825Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent generic congressional ballot polling shows Democrats holding a consistent 6- to 7-point national lead as of mid-August 2026, reflecting the typical midterm penalty against the president's party. With Republicans defending a narrow House majority amid dozens of competitive districts, forecasters note this environment favors Democratic gains in the popular vote. Cook Political Report and other ratings highlight more Republican-held seats at risk, while redistricting adjustments in key states have had limited net impact so far. Trader consensus on the Polymarket outcomes aligns with these trends, pricing modest-to-moderate Democratic margins most heavily while leaving substantial probability in "Other" for alternative scenarios.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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