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Politik·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Politik·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.7%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 4.5%

Santiago Abascal 4.0%

Polymarket

$121,787 Vol.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.7%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 4.5%

Santiago Abascal 4.0%

Polymarket

$121,787 Vol.

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$28,751 Vol.

80%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$20,496 Vol.

10%

icon for Isabel Díaz Ayuso

Isabel Díaz Ayuso

$7,171 Vol.

4%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$12,407 Vol.

4%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$4,673 Vol.

<1%

icon for Óscar Puente

Óscar Puente

$2,972 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Cuerpo

Carlos Cuerpo

$3,162 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$4,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$5,271 Vol.

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,723 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$4,786 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$6,560 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$4,211 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$4,188 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$4,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$4,045 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo holds a dominant position in trader assessments for Spain’s next prime minister, reflecting the People’s Party’s sustained lead in national polling averages ahead of the election due by August 2027. Sánchez’s minority government has operated without a stable majority since late 2025 after losing Junts support, relying on prorogued budgets while facing multiple corruption investigations involving senior PSOE figures and probes linked to his family. A summer 2026 migration surge in Ceuta further eroded the incumbent’s standing, amplifying calls from the PP and some regional partners for early voting. Feijóo has signaled openness to a Vox partnership to secure a parliamentary majority, consistent with regional coalition patterns and current seat projections that favor the center-right bloc. Sánchez continues to rule out resignation and targets a 2027 contest, though his coalition arithmetic remains precarious.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$121,787
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo holds a dominant position in trader assessments for Spain’s next prime minister, reflecting the People’s Party’s sustained lead in national polling averages ahead of the election due by August 2027. Sánchez’s minority government has operated without a stable majority since late 2025 after losing Junts support, relying on prorogued budgets while facing multiple corruption investigations involving senior PSOE figures and probes linked to his family. A summer 2026 migration surge in Ceuta further eroded the incumbent’s standing, amplifying calls from the PP and some regional partners for early voting. Feijóo has signaled openness to a Vox partnership to secure a parliamentary majority, consistent with regional coalition patterns and current seat projections that favor the center-right bloc. Sánchez continues to rule out resignation and targets a 2027 contest, though his coalition arithmetic remains precarious.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$121,787
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Prime Minister of Spain?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 16 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" di 80%, diikuti oleh "Pedro Sánchez" di 10%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 80¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" telah menghasilkan $121.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Prime Minister of Spain?," jelajahi 16 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" adalah "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" di 80%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Pedro Sánchez" di 10%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.