Forecasts from multiple models indicate the lowest temperature in Taipei on September 14 will most likely fall between 24–25°C, consistent with the market-implied probabilities peaking at 25°C (32.5%) and 24°C (21.5%). Persistent northeast monsoon flow, high humidity near 80–95%, and scattered showers or cloud cover limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping minima above the September climatological low of ~24°C. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress daytime highs while maintaining warmer nights, versus clearer intervals that allow greater cooling. Model consensus shows stable high pressure with light to moderate winds, reducing the chance of extremes below 21°C or above 26°C. Updated official guidance from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Taipei on September 14?
26°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
27°C 39%
20°C or below
16%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
22%
25°C
36%
26°C
40%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
16%
26°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
27°C 39%
20°C or below
16%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
22%
25°C
36%
26°C
40%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models indicate the lowest temperature in Taipei on September 14 will most likely fall between 24–25°C, consistent with the market-implied probabilities peaking at 25°C (32.5%) and 24°C (21.5%). Persistent northeast monsoon flow, high humidity near 80–95%, and scattered showers or cloud cover limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping minima above the September climatological low of ~24°C. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress daytime highs while maintaining warmer nights, versus clearer intervals that allow greater cooling. Model consensus shows stable high pressure with light to moderate winds, reducing the chance of extremes below 21°C or above 26°C. Updated official guidance from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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