Recent model runs show notable spread in overnight radiational cooling for Qingdao on September 14 under expected clear or mostly clear skies, with some forecasts projecting a low near 16–18 °C while others hold closer to 22–23 °C. The city’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea provides strong marine moderation, as sea-surface temperatures remain near 22–24 °C and limit sharp drops even with light northerly winds. High pressure and reduced cloud cover favor enhanced longwave radiative loss after sunset, yet variable boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds introduce uncertainty in the exact minimum. This genuine forecast divergence underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across the 15 °C-or-below and 25 °C-or-higher brackets, with traders awaiting updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
15°C or below 77%
25°C or higher 77%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
15°C or below
77%
16°C
22%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
19%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
77%
15°C or below 77%
25°C or higher 77%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
77%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
25%
19°C
$0 Vol.
19%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show notable spread in overnight radiational cooling for Qingdao on September 14 under expected clear or mostly clear skies, with some forecasts projecting a low near 16–18 °C while others hold closer to 22–23 °C. The city’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea provides strong marine moderation, as sea-surface temperatures remain near 22–24 °C and limit sharp drops even with light northerly winds. High pressure and reduced cloud cover favor enhanced longwave radiative loss after sunset, yet variable boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds introduce uncertainty in the exact minimum. This genuine forecast divergence underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across the 15 °C-or-below and 25 °C-or-higher brackets, with traders awaiting updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show notable spread in overnight radiational cooling for Qingdao on September 14 under expected clear or mostly clear skies, with some forecasts projecting a low near 16–18 °C while others hold closer to 22–23 °C. The city’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea provides strong marine moderation, as sea-surface temperatures remain near 22–24 °C and limit sharp drops even with light northerly winds. High pressure and reduced cloud cover favor enhanced longwave radiative loss after sunset, yet variable boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds introduce uncertainty in the exact minimum. This genuine forecast divergence underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across the 15 °C-or-below and 25 °C-or-higher brackets, with traders awaiting updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs show notable spread in overnight radiational cooling for Qingdao on September 14 under expected clear or mostly clear skies, with some forecasts projecting a low near 16–18 °C while others hold closer to 22–23 °C. The city’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea provides strong marine moderation, as sea-surface temperatures remain near 22–24 °C and limit sharp drops even with light northerly winds. High pressure and reduced cloud cover favor enhanced longwave radiative loss after sunset, yet variable boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds introduce uncertainty in the exact minimum. This genuine forecast divergence underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across the 15 °C-or-below and 25 °C-or-higher brackets, with traders awaiting updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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