Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Paris on August 30, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with the strong market consensus at 98.5% implied probability for that exact outcome, as late-summer Atlantic air masses typically maintain mild nocturnal temperatures near the seasonal average high for lows. Historical data show greater variability possible, but current observations and model runs exhibit tight agreement around this threshold. A shift toward clearer skies or an unforecasted cold advection could allow temperatures to dip to 16°C or lower before dawn, though such developments remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
17°C 98%
16°C 2%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$7,548 Vol.
$7,548 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
98%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 98%
16°C 2%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$7,548 Vol.
$7,548 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$358 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$405 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,212 Vol.
2%
17°C
$1,988 Vol.
98%
18°C
$1,758 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$785 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Paris on August 30, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with the strong market consensus at 98.5% implied probability for that exact outcome, as late-summer Atlantic air masses typically maintain mild nocturnal temperatures near the seasonal average high for lows. Historical data show greater variability possible, but current observations and model runs exhibit tight agreement around this threshold. A shift toward clearer skies or an unforecasted cold advection could allow temperatures to dip to 16°C or lower before dawn, though such developments remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,548Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Paris on August 30, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with the strong market consensus at 98.5% implied probability for that exact outcome, as late-summer Atlantic air masses typically maintain mild nocturnal temperatures near the seasonal average high for lows. Historical data show greater variability possible, but current observations and model runs exhibit tight agreement around this threshold. A shift toward clearer skies or an unforecasted cold advection could allow temperatures to dip to 16°C or lower before dawn, though such developments remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,548Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Paris on August 30, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with the strong market consensus at 98.5% implied probability for that exact outcome, as late-summer Atlantic air masses typically maintain mild nocturnal temperatures near the seasonal average high for lows. Historical data show greater variability possible, but current observations and model runs exhibit tight agreement around this threshold. A shift toward clearer skies or an unforecasted cold advection could allow temperatures to dip to 16°C or lower before dawn, though such developments remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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