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Lowest temperature in London on July 26?

icon for Lowest temperature in London on July 26?

Lowest temperature in London on July 26?

19°C 36%

18°C 25%

15°C or below 23%

20°C 19%

Polymarket
BARU

19°C 36%

18°C 25%

15°C or below 23%

20°C 19%

Polymarket
BARU

15°C or below

$26 Vol.

23%

16°C

$6 Vol.

9%

17°C

$0 Vol.

14%

18°C

$0 Vol.

25%

19°C

$82 Vol.

36%

20°C

$1 Vol.

19%

21°C

$1 Vol.

10%

22°C

$42 Vol.

1%

23°C

$58 Vol.

1%

24°C

$142 Vol.

<1%

25°C or higher

$142 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models like those used by the Met Office and AccuWeather indicates overnight lows in London for July 26 likely ranging 14–18°C amid a shift from earlier mid-July heat, with scattered rain, overcast skies, and moderate winds expected to influence nocturnal cooling. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce radiative heat loss from the surface, typically keeping minimum temperatures higher than under clear conditions, while any clearer breaks could allow sharper drops toward or below 15°C. Historical July averages near 17°C provide context, yet short-term model runs remain sensitive to exact timing of frontal passages and moisture levels, sustaining tight market spreads between the sub-15°C and mid-to-upper teens outcomes as traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance ahead of final resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$500
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models like those used by the Met Office and AccuWeather indicates overnight lows in London for July 26 likely ranging 14–18°C amid a shift from earlier mid-July heat, with scattered rain, overcast skies, and moderate winds expected to influence nocturnal cooling. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce radiative heat loss from the surface, typically keeping minimum temperatures higher than under clear conditions, while any clearer breaks could allow sharper drops toward or below 15°C. Historical July averages near 17°C provide context, yet short-term model runs remain sensitive to exact timing of frontal passages and moisture levels, sustaining tight market spreads between the sub-15°C and mid-to-upper teens outcomes as traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance ahead of final resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$500
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Lowest temperature in London on July 26?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "19°C" di 36%, diikuti oleh "18°C" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 36¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 36% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Lowest temperature in London on July 26?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 24, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Lowest temperature in London on July 26?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Lowest temperature in London on July 26?" adalah "19°C" di 36%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 36% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "18°C" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Lowest temperature in London on July 26?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.