Persistent high humidity levels above 80% combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms have limited radiative cooling overnight in Hong Kong, elevating the expected minimum temperature for September 13, 2026. Recent subtropical conditions, including weaker northeast monsoon influence and elevated sea surface temperatures, have sustained above-average overnight lows near or above 26°C, consistent with unseasonably warm September patterns observed in prior years. Official forecasts from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a daily low around 24–26°C, yet trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 75% implied probability due to the insulating effects of moisture and limited clear-sky periods. Upcoming evening observations and model updates will refine resolution near the 27°C threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
27°C 83%
26°C 21%
25°C 9%
24°C 4%
$16,095 Vol.
$16,095 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
15%
27°C
76%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 83%
26°C 21%
25°C 9%
24°C 4%
$16,095 Vol.
$16,095 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
$739 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,988 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,339 Vol.
4%
25°C
$2,769 Vol.
9%
26°C
$1,993 Vol.
15%
27°C
$5,551 Vol.
76%
28°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$164 Vol.
1%
30°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$77 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high humidity levels above 80% combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms have limited radiative cooling overnight in Hong Kong, elevating the expected minimum temperature for September 13, 2026. Recent subtropical conditions, including weaker northeast monsoon influence and elevated sea surface temperatures, have sustained above-average overnight lows near or above 26°C, consistent with unseasonably warm September patterns observed in prior years. Official forecasts from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a daily low around 24–26°C, yet trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 75% implied probability due to the insulating effects of moisture and limited clear-sky periods. Upcoming evening observations and model updates will refine resolution near the 27°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,095Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high humidity levels above 80% combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms have limited radiative cooling overnight in Hong Kong, elevating the expected minimum temperature for September 13, 2026. Recent subtropical conditions, including weaker northeast monsoon influence and elevated sea surface temperatures, have sustained above-average overnight lows near or above 26°C, consistent with unseasonably warm September patterns observed in prior years. Official forecasts from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a daily low around 24–26°C, yet trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 75% implied probability due to the insulating effects of moisture and limited clear-sky periods. Upcoming evening observations and model updates will refine resolution near the 27°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,095Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high humidity levels above 80% combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms have limited radiative cooling overnight in Hong Kong, elevating the expected minimum temperature for September 13, 2026. Recent subtropical conditions, including weaker northeast monsoon influence and elevated sea surface temperatures, have sustained above-average overnight lows near or above 26°C, consistent with unseasonably warm September patterns observed in prior years. Official forecasts from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a daily low around 24–26°C, yet trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 75% implied probability due to the insulating effects of moisture and limited clear-sky periods. Upcoming evening observations and model updates will refine resolution near the 27°C threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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