**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain moderating overnight cooling.** Multiple sources project daytime highs of 30–32°C and lows of 25–26°C under mostly overcast skies with 70–90% precipitation chances, consistent with the historical average low of 24.3°C for the date and recent September patterns. This supports the market's leading 25°C outcome at 46% implied probability. Cooler scenarios (20°C or below at 26.5%) remain possible if clearer skies develop or a stronger cold pool arrives, though current model runs show limited support. Warmer overnight minima (30°C or higher at 26.5%) would require unusual heat retention, unlikely given the rain-cooled air mass. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine these odds as the 24-hour window closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
20°C or below 53%
30°C or higher 53%
25°C 46%
22°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
53%
21°C
13%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
23%
25°C
46%
26°C
23%
27°C
39%
28°C
16%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
53%
20°C or below 53%
30°C or higher 53%
25°C 46%
22°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
53%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$12 Vol.
46%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain moderating overnight cooling.** Multiple sources project daytime highs of 30–32°C and lows of 25–26°C under mostly overcast skies with 70–90% precipitation chances, consistent with the historical average low of 24.3°C for the date and recent September patterns. This supports the market's leading 25°C outcome at 46% implied probability.
Cooler scenarios (20°C or below at 26.5%) remain possible if clearer skies develop or a stronger cold pool arrives, though current model runs show limited support. Warmer overnight minima (30°C or higher at 26.5%) would require unusual heat retention, unlikely given the rain-cooled air mass. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine these odds as the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$12Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain moderating overnight cooling.** Multiple sources project daytime highs of 30–32°C and lows of 25–26°C under mostly overcast skies with 70–90% precipitation chances, consistent with the historical average low of 24.3°C for the date and recent September patterns. This supports the market's leading 25°C outcome at 46% implied probability.
Cooler scenarios (20°C or below at 26.5%) remain possible if clearer skies develop or a stronger cold pool arrives, though current model runs show limited support. Warmer overnight minima (30°C or higher at 26.5%) would require unusual heat retention, unlikely given the rain-cooled air mass. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine these odds as the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain moderating overnight cooling.** Multiple sources project daytime highs of 30–32°C and lows of 25–26°C under mostly overcast skies with 70–90% precipitation chances, consistent with the historical average low of 24.3°C for the date and recent September patterns. This supports the market's leading 25°C outcome at 46% implied probability. Cooler scenarios (20°C or below at 26.5%) remain possible if clearer skies develop or a stronger cold pool arrives, though current model runs show limited support. Warmer overnight minima (30°C or higher at 26.5%) would require unusual heat retention, unlikely given the rain-cooled air mass. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine these odds as the 24-hour window closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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