US-mediated negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, which began in April 2026, produced a trilateral framework agreement in Washington on June 26 that outlined pilot zones for phased Israeli withdrawals and Lebanese army deployment in exchange for Hezbollah disarmament. Subsequent rounds in Rome during July and early August advanced guidelines for those zones but yielded limited implementation. As of mid-to-late August, talks have reached a reported deadlock, with Lebanese President Joseph Aoun facing resistance from Hezbollah over state authority and Israeli officials conditioning further withdrawals on verified security gains. Trader assessments of an imminent diplomatic meeting by any near-term deadline reflect these persistent implementation hurdles and the absence of scheduled high-level sessions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$83,883 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
August 31
12%
September 9
61%
September 30
78%
September 15
68%
$83,883 Vol.
August 31
$67,193 Vol.
12%
September 9
$105 Vol.
61%
September 30
$16,105 Vol.
78%
September 15
$480 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, which began in April 2026, produced a trilateral framework agreement in Washington on June 26 that outlined pilot zones for phased Israeli withdrawals and Lebanese army deployment in exchange for Hezbollah disarmament. Subsequent rounds in Rome during July and early August advanced guidelines for those zones but yielded limited implementation. As of mid-to-late August, talks have reached a reported deadlock, with Lebanese President Joseph Aoun facing resistance from Hezbollah over state authority and Israeli officials conditioning further withdrawals on verified security gains. Trader assessments of an imminent diplomatic meeting by any near-term deadline reflect these persistent implementation hurdles and the absence of scheduled high-level sessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$83,883Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, which began in April 2026, produced a trilateral framework agreement in Washington on June 26 that outlined pilot zones for phased Israeli withdrawals and Lebanese army deployment in exchange for Hezbollah disarmament. Subsequent rounds in Rome during July and early August advanced guidelines for those zones but yielded limited implementation. As of mid-to-late August, talks have reached a reported deadlock, with Lebanese President Joseph Aoun facing resistance from Hezbollah over state authority and Israeli officials conditioning further withdrawals on verified security gains. Trader assessments of an imminent diplomatic meeting by any near-term deadline reflect these persistent implementation hurdles and the absence of scheduled high-level sessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$83,883Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, which began in April 2026, produced a trilateral framework agreement in Washington on June 26 that outlined pilot zones for phased Israeli withdrawals and Lebanese army deployment in exchange for Hezbollah disarmament. Subsequent rounds in Rome during July and early August advanced guidelines for those zones but yielded limited implementation. As of mid-to-late August, talks have reached a reported deadlock, with Lebanese President Joseph Aoun facing resistance from Hezbollah over state authority and Israeli officials conditioning further withdrawals on verified security gains. Trader assessments of an imminent diplomatic meeting by any near-term deadline reflect these persistent implementation hurdles and the absence of scheduled high-level sessions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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