**Trader consensus strongly favors a 30°C high in Zhengzhou on September 13, 2026, reflecting model agreement on peak temperatures near this threshold.** Multiple forecasts, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a daytime maximum of 28–30°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 4–6 mph, and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with typical early-September conditions in the region where average highs hover near 27°C. Official resolution relies on measurements from the Zhengzhou meteorological station, where observed values align closely with these projections. The near-100% implied probability for 30°C underscores the narrow uncertainty range in current observational data and model runs. Realistic challenges remain limited but include localized variations in cloud cover that could suppress maximums by 1–2°C or minor discrepancies in station-specific readings versus broader model outputs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 13?
30°C 99.6%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.6%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 30°C high in Zhengzhou on September 13, 2026, reflecting model agreement on peak temperatures near this threshold.** Multiple forecasts, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a daytime maximum of 28–30°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 4–6 mph, and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with typical early-September conditions in the region where average highs hover near 27°C. Official resolution relies on measurements from the Zhengzhou meteorological station, where observed values align closely with these projections. The near-100% implied probability for 30°C underscores the narrow uncertainty range in current observational data and model runs. Realistic challenges remain limited but include localized variations in cloud cover that could suppress maximums by 1–2°C or minor discrepancies in station-specific readings versus broader model outputs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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