Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's maximum temperature on July 29 will likely fall in the 32–34°C range, driving the closely bunched market probabilities around 31–33°C. Variability stems from uncertainty in the strength and position of the North Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and urban heat retention, alongside potential weak frontal influences or cloud cover that could moderate peaks. Historical July climatology shows typical maxima near 31°C with a standard deviation of 2–3°C, underscoring why small shifts in model guidance or observational updates can reweight outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles for clearer signals on these steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 29?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 29?
33°C 36%
32°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Jul 29, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
36%
34°C
22%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
32°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Jul 29, 2026
27°C or below
$496 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$65 Vol.
2%
29°C
$664 Vol.
3%
30°C
$238 Vol.
4%
31°C
$247 Vol.
7%
32°C
$258 Vol.
25%
33°C
$405 Vol.
36%
34°C
$399 Vol.
22%
35°C
$224 Vol.
6%
36°C
$373 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$960 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's maximum temperature on July 29 will likely fall in the 32–34°C range, driving the closely bunched market probabilities around 31–33°C. Variability stems from uncertainty in the strength and position of the North Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and urban heat retention, alongside potential weak frontal influences or cloud cover that could moderate peaks. Historical July climatology shows typical maxima near 31°C with a standard deviation of 2–3°C, underscoring why small shifts in model guidance or observational updates can reweight outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles for clearer signals on these steering patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,330Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's maximum temperature on July 29 will likely fall in the 32–34°C range, driving the closely bunched market probabilities around 31–33°C. Variability stems from uncertainty in the strength and position of the North Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and urban heat retention, alongside potential weak frontal influences or cloud cover that could moderate peaks. Historical July climatology shows typical maxima near 31°C with a standard deviation of 2–3°C, underscoring why small shifts in model guidance or observational updates can reweight outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles for clearer signals on these steering patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,330Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's maximum temperature on July 29 will likely fall in the 32–34°C range, driving the closely bunched market probabilities around 31–33°C. Variability stems from uncertainty in the strength and position of the North Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and urban heat retention, alongside potential weak frontal influences or cloud cover that could moderate peaks. Historical July climatology shows typical maxima near 31°C with a standard deviation of 2–3°C, underscoring why small shifts in model guidance or observational updates can reweight outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles for clearer signals on these steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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