Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on July 30?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 30?
35°C 29%
36°C 26%
34°C 19%
33°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Jul 30, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
14%
34°C
19%
35°C
29%
36°C
26%
37°C or higher
20%
35°C 29%
36°C 26%
34°C 19%
33°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Jul 30, 2026
27°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$6 Vol.
2%
32°C
$13 Vol.
9%
33°C
$9 Vol.
14%
34°C
$3 Vol.
19%
35°C
$10 Vol.
29%
36°C
$21 Vol.
26%
37°C or higher
$11 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$48Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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