Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a daytime high near 31°C for Shenzhen on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and light northeast winds. This aligns with the subtropical monsoon pattern and seasonal norms of 30–32°C highs in mid-September, when high humidity and convective clouds often moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader emphasis on the 30–32°C outcomes reflects tight model consensus on these factors, with small spreads arising from uncertainties in afternoon shower timing and boundary-layer mixing that could allow brief clearing or suppress readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14?
31°C 31%
32°C 25%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
20%
31°C
31%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 31%
32°C 25%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
20%
31°C
31%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a daytime high near 31°C for Shenzhen on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and light northeast winds. This aligns with the subtropical monsoon pattern and seasonal norms of 30–32°C highs in mid-September, when high humidity and convective clouds often moderate peak temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader emphasis on the 30–32°C outcomes reflects tight model consensus on these factors, with small spreads arising from uncertainties in afternoon shower timing and boundary-layer mixing that could allow brief clearing or suppress readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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