Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on a 24°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 15 reflects official station readings from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport, where afternoon maxima stabilized at that level under clear skies, light northwesterly winds around 6–8 kt, and low humidity near 30–50%. These conditions aligned with model consensus from GFS runs showing limited diurnal heating and no significant warm advection, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. The near-certainty accounts for the day nearing completion in local time, with minimal scope for revision. Only an improbable late surge from unforecast mesoscale features or measurement error at primary sites could alter the outcome before final verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 15?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$56,867 Vol.
$56,867 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$56,867 Vol.
$56,867 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
$132 Vol.
No
20°C
$132 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,553 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,538 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,759 Vol.
No
24°C
$17,309 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$11,178 Vol.
No
26°C
$10,530 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,823 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,311 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$1,650 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on a 24°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 15 reflects official station readings from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport, where afternoon maxima stabilized at that level under clear skies, light northwesterly winds around 6–8 kt, and low humidity near 30–50%. These conditions aligned with model consensus from GFS runs showing limited diurnal heating and no significant warm advection, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. The near-certainty accounts for the day nearing completion in local time, with minimal scope for revision. Only an improbable late surge from unforecast mesoscale features or measurement error at primary sites could alter the outcome before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$56,867Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on a 24°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 15 reflects official station readings from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport, where afternoon maxima stabilized at that level under clear skies, light northwesterly winds around 6–8 kt, and low humidity near 30–50%. These conditions aligned with model consensus from GFS runs showing limited diurnal heating and no significant warm advection, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. The near-certainty accounts for the day nearing completion in local time, with minimal scope for revision. Only an improbable late surge from unforecast mesoscale features or measurement error at primary sites could alter the outcome before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56,867Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on a 24°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 15 reflects official station readings from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport, where afternoon maxima stabilized at that level under clear skies, light northwesterly winds around 6–8 kt, and low humidity near 30–50%. These conditions aligned with model consensus from GFS runs showing limited diurnal heating and no significant warm advection, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. The near-certainty accounts for the day nearing completion in local time, with minimal scope for revision. Only an improbable late surge from unforecast mesoscale features or measurement error at primary sites could alter the outcome before final verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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