Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily high of 24–26°C for Qingdao on September 11 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions reflect typical early-autumn coastal moderation, where Yellow Sea influence and stable high pressure limit daytime heating compared with inland areas. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market’s concentration around 26–28°C outcomes, while the 47% implied probability for 27°C captures residual uncertainty from localized urban heat effects or minor forecast revisions ahead of final observations. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 11?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 11?
27°C 51%
26°C 25%
28°C 22%
25°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
25%
27°C
51%
28°C
22%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 51%
26°C 25%
28°C 22%
25°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
$885 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$217 Vol.
2%
25°C
$448 Vol.
3%
26°C
$1,966 Vol.
25%
27°C
$2,619 Vol.
51%
28°C
$1,139 Vol.
22%
29°C
$132 Vol.
3%
30°C
$249 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$42 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily high of 24–26°C for Qingdao on September 11 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions reflect typical early-autumn coastal moderation, where Yellow Sea influence and stable high pressure limit daytime heating compared with inland areas. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market’s concentration around 26–28°C outcomes, while the 47% implied probability for 27°C captures residual uncertainty from localized urban heat effects or minor forecast revisions ahead of final observations. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$7,979Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily high of 24–26°C for Qingdao on September 11 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions reflect typical early-autumn coastal moderation, where Yellow Sea influence and stable high pressure limit daytime heating compared with inland areas. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market’s concentration around 26–28°C outcomes, while the 47% implied probability for 27°C captures residual uncertainty from localized urban heat effects or minor forecast revisions ahead of final observations. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,979Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily high of 24–26°C for Qingdao on September 11 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions reflect typical early-autumn coastal moderation, where Yellow Sea influence and stable high pressure limit daytime heating compared with inland areas. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market’s concentration around 26–28°C outcomes, while the 47% implied probability for 27°C captures residual uncertainty from localized urban heat effects or minor forecast revisions ahead of final observations. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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