Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA currently indicate a highest temperature in central NYC on July 26 near 81–84°F, with limited moisture and moderate onshore flow suppressing stronger daytime heating after the early-July heat wave. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around the low-to-mid 80s, where 82–83°F leads at 35.5% and 84–85°F follows at 25.5%. Recent ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, though small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings a degree or two higher. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 84°F, providing context for why traders assign only modest odds to outcomes above 86°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on July 26?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 26?
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 29%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Jul 26, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 29%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Jul 26, 2026
77°F or below
$584 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$215 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$467 Vol.
16%
82-83°F
$1,132 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$372 Vol.
29%
86-87°F
$190 Vol.
11%
88-89°F
$297 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$105 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$61 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$81 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA currently indicate a highest temperature in central NYC on July 26 near 81–84°F, with limited moisture and moderate onshore flow suppressing stronger daytime heating after the early-July heat wave. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around the low-to-mid 80s, where 82–83°F leads at 35.5% and 84–85°F follows at 25.5%. Recent ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, though small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings a degree or two higher. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 84°F, providing context for why traders assign only modest odds to outcomes above 86°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$3,800Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA currently indicate a highest temperature in central NYC on July 26 near 81–84°F, with limited moisture and moderate onshore flow suppressing stronger daytime heating after the early-July heat wave. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around the low-to-mid 80s, where 82–83°F leads at 35.5% and 84–85°F follows at 25.5%. Recent ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, though small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings a degree or two higher. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 84°F, providing context for why traders assign only modest odds to outcomes above 86°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,800Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA currently indicate a highest temperature in central NYC on July 26 near 81–84°F, with limited moisture and moderate onshore flow suppressing stronger daytime heating after the early-July heat wave. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around the low-to-mid 80s, where 82–83°F leads at 35.5% and 84–85°F follows at 25.5%. Recent ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, though small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings a degree or two higher. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 84°F, providing context for why traders assign only modest odds to outcomes above 86°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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