Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to a primary driver of afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze influences that typically cap highs near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 90–93°F range at over two-thirds combined implied probability. Persistent drought conditions and above-normal sea-surface temperatures have supported recent daily maxima of 91–93°F, yet scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 30–40% coverage—introduce timing uncertainty that can either allow brief clearing for higher readings or deliver earlier cloud cover to suppress peaks. Historical July normals near 91°F with occasional records above 95°F provide context, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor the observed trader consensus for moderate rather than extreme outcomes ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on July 26?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 26?
92-93°F 44%
90-91°F 38%
94-95°F 10%
88-89°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Jul 26, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
38%
92-93°F
44%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 44%
90-91°F 38%
94-95°F 10%
88-89°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Jul 26, 2026
79°F or below
$129 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$120 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$95 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$138 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$123 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$207 Vol.
8%
90-91°F
$839 Vol.
38%
92-93°F
$2,767 Vol.
44%
94-95°F
$279 Vol.
10%
96-97°F
$160 Vol.
2%
98°F or higher
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to a primary driver of afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze influences that typically cap highs near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 90–93°F range at over two-thirds combined implied probability. Persistent drought conditions and above-normal sea-surface temperatures have supported recent daily maxima of 91–93°F, yet scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 30–40% coverage—introduce timing uncertainty that can either allow brief clearing for higher readings or deliver earlier cloud cover to suppress peaks. Historical July normals near 91°F with occasional records above 95°F provide context, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor the observed trader consensus for moderate rather than extreme outcomes ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,055Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to a primary driver of afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze influences that typically cap highs near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 90–93°F range at over two-thirds combined implied probability. Persistent drought conditions and above-normal sea-surface temperatures have supported recent daily maxima of 91–93°F, yet scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 30–40% coverage—introduce timing uncertainty that can either allow brief clearing for higher readings or deliver earlier cloud cover to suppress peaks. Historical July normals near 91°F with occasional records above 95°F provide context, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor the observed trader consensus for moderate rather than extreme outcomes ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,055Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to a primary driver of afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze influences that typically cap highs near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 90–93°F range at over two-thirds combined implied probability. Persistent drought conditions and above-normal sea-surface temperatures have supported recent daily maxima of 91–93°F, yet scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 30–40% coverage—introduce timing uncertainty that can either allow brief clearing for higher readings or deliver earlier cloud cover to suppress peaks. Historical July normals near 91°F with occasional records above 95°F provide context, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor the observed trader consensus for moderate rather than extreme outcomes ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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