Forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensembles like GFS project Miami highs near 92–94°F on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93°F (55%) and 94–95°F (38.5%) bins. Typical mid-August conditions—high pressure, dew points in the mid-70s, and sea-surface temperatures near 86°F—support peak readings in this range, while scattered afternoon convection may prevent further warming. Long-range guidance notes a possible tropical moisture surge around that date, which could enhance cloud cover and slightly suppress maxima. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August averages of 89°F and the narrow window before official observations finalize resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on August 12?
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 37%
96-97°F 5%
90-91°F 4%
$11,862 Vol.
$11,862 Vol.
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 37%
96-97°F 5%
90-91°F 4%
$11,862 Vol.
$11,862 Vol.
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensembles like GFS project Miami highs near 92–94°F on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93°F (55%) and 94–95°F (38.5%) bins. Typical mid-August conditions—high pressure, dew points in the mid-70s, and sea-surface temperatures near 86°F—support peak readings in this range, while scattered afternoon convection may prevent further warming. Long-range guidance notes a possible tropical moisture surge around that date, which could enhance cloud cover and slightly suppress maxima. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August averages of 89°F and the narrow window before official observations finalize resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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