Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a weak high-pressure ridge over southern England with light southerly flow, creating tight competition between 24–26°C outcomes for London’s July 22 maximum. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertain cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping probabilities for 25°C and 26°C nearly even at 24.5% and 27.5%. Historical July averages near 23°C provide baseline context, while traders weigh potential daytime heating under clearer spells against modest Atlantic moisture that could cap temperatures. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these closely matched market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on July 22?
Highest temperature in London on July 22?
25°C 39%
24°C 27%
23°C 17.5%
26°C 17%
BARU
$111,399 Vol.
BARU
$111,399 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
18%
24°C
27%
25°C
39%
26°C
17%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 39%
24°C 27%
23°C 17.5%
26°C 17%
BARU
$111,399 Vol.
BARU
$111,399 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
20°C or below
$18,990 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10,389 Vol.
2%
22°C
$12,443 Vol.
3%
23°C
$9,525 Vol.
18%
24°C
$12,330 Vol.
27%
25°C
$12,989 Vol.
39%
26°C
$11,235 Vol.
17%
27°C
$9,764 Vol.
1%
28°C
$8,042 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,903 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$795 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a weak high-pressure ridge over southern England with light southerly flow, creating tight competition between 24–26°C outcomes for London’s July 22 maximum. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertain cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping probabilities for 25°C and 26°C nearly even at 24.5% and 27.5%. Historical July averages near 23°C provide baseline context, while traders weigh potential daytime heating under clearer spells against modest Atlantic moisture that could cap temperatures. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these closely matched market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$111,399Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a weak high-pressure ridge over southern England with light southerly flow, creating tight competition between 24–26°C outcomes for London’s July 22 maximum. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertain cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping probabilities for 25°C and 26°C nearly even at 24.5% and 27.5%. Historical July averages near 23°C provide baseline context, while traders weigh potential daytime heating under clearer spells against modest Atlantic moisture that could cap temperatures. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these closely matched market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$111,399Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a weak high-pressure ridge over southern England with light southerly flow, creating tight competition between 24–26°C outcomes for London’s July 22 maximum. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertain cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping probabilities for 25°C and 26°C nearly even at 24.5% and 27.5%. Historical July averages near 23°C provide baseline context, while traders weigh potential daytime heating under clearer spells against modest Atlantic moisture that could cap temperatures. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these closely matched market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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