Ongoing U.S.-Iran military exchanges since early 2026 have included airstrikes on military infrastructure, air defenses, and drone facilities on Hengam Island and nearby sites in the Strait of Hormuz, alongside strikes on oil infrastructure and other Iranian positions. These operations have produced environmental impacts such as oil pollution affecting Hengam and Qeshm coasts but have not resulted in territorial occupation or transfer of governmental or military control. Iran maintains primary authority through IRGC deployments and continues enforcing maritime rules in the region. Trader consensus reflects the significant logistical and military barriers to any forcible change in island sovereignty amid active conflict and diplomatic channels, with no verified developments indicating imminent loss of Iranian control by late 2026 dates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$122,168 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
$122,168 Vol.
August 31
$94,620 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing U.S.-Iran military exchanges since early 2026 have included airstrikes on military infrastructure, air defenses, and drone facilities on Hengam Island and nearby sites in the Strait of Hormuz, alongside strikes on oil infrastructure and other Iranian positions. These operations have produced environmental impacts such as oil pollution affecting Hengam and Qeshm coasts but have not resulted in territorial occupation or transfer of governmental or military control. Iran maintains primary authority through IRGC deployments and continues enforcing maritime rules in the region. Trader consensus reflects the significant logistical and military barriers to any forcible change in island sovereignty amid active conflict and diplomatic channels, with no verified developments indicating imminent loss of Iranian control by late 2026 dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Volume
$122,168Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing U.S.-Iran military exchanges since early 2026 have included airstrikes on military infrastructure, air defenses, and drone facilities on Hengam Island and nearby sites in the Strait of Hormuz, alongside strikes on oil infrastructure and other Iranian positions. These operations have produced environmental impacts such as oil pollution affecting Hengam and Qeshm coasts but have not resulted in territorial occupation or transfer of governmental or military control. Iran maintains primary authority through IRGC deployments and continues enforcing maritime rules in the region. Trader consensus reflects the significant logistical and military barriers to any forcible change in island sovereignty amid active conflict and diplomatic channels, with no verified developments indicating imminent loss of Iranian control by late 2026 dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$122,168Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran military exchanges since early 2026 have included airstrikes on military infrastructure, air defenses, and drone facilities on Hengam Island and nearby sites in the Strait of Hormuz, alongside strikes on oil infrastructure and other Iranian positions. These operations have produced environmental impacts such as oil pollution affecting Hengam and Qeshm coasts but have not resulted in territorial occupation or transfer of governmental or military control. Iran maintains primary authority through IRGC deployments and continues enforcing maritime rules in the region. Trader consensus reflects the significant logistical and military barriers to any forcible change in island sovereignty amid active conflict and diplomatic channels, with no verified developments indicating imminent loss of Iranian control by late 2026 dates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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