Recent fractures among French left-wing parties have driven trader consensus toward cancellation of the scheduled October 2026 United Left primary. The Socialist Party’s July 2026 member vote rejected participation in favor of a closed internal process, while La France Insoumise declined from the outset and other groups signaled limited involvement. These decisions align with the market’s resolution criteria, which trigger “Canceled” if organizers formally abandon the contest or at least three participating movements withdraw. The remaining smaller formations lack the breadth needed for a viable joint nomination process ahead of the 2027 presidential election. A reversal would require coordinated official reversals by multiple parties or a last-minute agreement restoring the original coalition framework before the October deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCanceled 93.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$212,616 Vol.
$212,616 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
94%
Marine Tondelier
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Canceled 93.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$212,616 Vol.
$212,616 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
$76,903 Vol.
94%
Marine Tondelier
$49,788 Vol.
1%
François Ruffin
$31,112 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Vol.
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Vol.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent fractures among French left-wing parties have driven trader consensus toward cancellation of the scheduled October 2026 United Left primary. The Socialist Party’s July 2026 member vote rejected participation in favor of a closed internal process, while La France Insoumise declined from the outset and other groups signaled limited involvement. These decisions align with the market’s resolution criteria, which trigger “Canceled” if organizers formally abandon the contest or at least three participating movements withdraw. The remaining smaller formations lack the breadth needed for a viable joint nomination process ahead of the 2027 presidential election. A reversal would require coordinated official reversals by multiple parties or a last-minute agreement restoring the original coalition framework before the October deadline.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Pasar Dibuka: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$212,616Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent fractures among French left-wing parties have driven trader consensus toward cancellation of the scheduled October 2026 United Left primary. The Socialist Party’s July 2026 member vote rejected participation in favor of a closed internal process, while La France Insoumise declined from the outset and other groups signaled limited involvement. These decisions align with the market’s resolution criteria, which trigger “Canceled” if organizers formally abandon the contest or at least three participating movements withdraw. The remaining smaller formations lack the breadth needed for a viable joint nomination process ahead of the 2027 presidential election. A reversal would require coordinated official reversals by multiple parties or a last-minute agreement restoring the original coalition framework before the October deadline.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$212,616Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent fractures among French left-wing parties have driven trader consensus toward cancellation of the scheduled October 2026 United Left primary. The Socialist Party’s July 2026 member vote rejected participation in favor of a closed internal process, while La France Insoumise declined from the outset and other groups signaled limited involvement. These decisions align with the market’s resolution criteria, which trigger “Canceled” if organizers formally abandon the contest or at least three participating movements withdraw. The remaining smaller formations lack the breadth needed for a viable joint nomination process ahead of the 2027 presidential election. A reversal would require coordinated official reversals by multiple parties or a last-minute agreement restoring the original coalition framework before the October deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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