Geopolitical supply shocks from Middle East tensions, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and over 10 million barrels per day in regional production outages, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices near $91 per barrel as of early June 2026. These disruptions have triggered sharp inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, supporting elevated levels despite periodic ceasefire optimism that has pressured futures lower. EIA models project Brent averaging around $106 per barrel through June before easing later in the year as flows gradually resume, while broader OPEC+ output adjustments and non-OPEC supply growth add to the uncertain near-term path. Traders are watching any de-escalation milestones or weekly inventory reports for shifts ahead of end-of-month settlement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCrude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
$134,297 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$90
53%
$85
69%
$80
82%
$75
87%
$70
94%
$65
96%
$63
97%
$60
98%
$56
97%
$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
$134,297 Vol.
$90
$26,549 Vol.
53%
$85
$7,089 Vol.
69%
$80
$6,036 Vol.
82%
$75
$16,860 Vol.
87%
$70
$20,296 Vol.
94%
$65
$877 Vol.
96%
$63
$9,105 Vol.
97%
$60
$23,495 Vol.
98%
$56
$4,950 Vol.
97%
$55
$3,634 Vol.
98%
$52
$6,332 Vol.
99%
$50
$9,074 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply shocks from Middle East tensions, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and over 10 million barrels per day in regional production outages, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices near $91 per barrel as of early June 2026. These disruptions have triggered sharp inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, supporting elevated levels despite periodic ceasefire optimism that has pressured futures lower. EIA models project Brent averaging around $106 per barrel through June before easing later in the year as flows gradually resume, while broader OPEC+ output adjustments and non-OPEC supply growth add to the uncertain near-term path. Traders are watching any de-escalation milestones or weekly inventory reports for shifts ahead of end-of-month settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$134,297Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply shocks from Middle East tensions, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and over 10 million barrels per day in regional production outages, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices near $91 per barrel as of early June 2026. These disruptions have triggered sharp inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, supporting elevated levels despite periodic ceasefire optimism that has pressured futures lower. EIA models project Brent averaging around $106 per barrel through June before easing later in the year as flows gradually resume, while broader OPEC+ output adjustments and non-OPEC supply growth add to the uncertain near-term path. Traders are watching any de-escalation milestones or weekly inventory reports for shifts ahead of end-of-month settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$134,297Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETGeopolitical supply shocks from Middle East tensions, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and over 10 million barrels per day in regional production outages, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices near $91 per barrel as of early June 2026. These disruptions have triggered sharp inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, supporting elevated levels despite periodic ceasefire optimism that has pressured futures lower. EIA models project Brent averaging around $106 per barrel through June before easing later in the year as flows gradually resume, while broader OPEC+ output adjustments and non-OPEC supply growth add to the uncertain near-term path. Traders are watching any de-escalation milestones or weekly inventory reports for shifts ahead of end-of-month settlement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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