California's 30th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and historical voting trends that favor the party by wide margins in general elections. Incumbent Laura Friedman secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the June 2026 primary, outpacing all challengers and advancing against Republican Scott Meyers, whose primary showing remained limited. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the district's partisan voting index and path-to-victory math that requires only standard turnout among core Democratic blocs. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the absence of competitive polling shifts or major developments since the primary. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant late-cycle national wave favoring Republicans, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or localized turnout anomalies in key precincts.
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CA-30 House Election Winner
$22,831 Vol.
$22,831 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$22,831 Vol.
$22,831 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,811 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$10,021 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and historical voting trends that favor the party by wide margins in general elections. Incumbent Laura Friedman secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the June 2026 primary, outpacing all challengers and advancing against Republican Scott Meyers, whose primary showing remained limited. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the district's partisan voting index and path-to-victory math that requires only standard turnout among core Democratic blocs. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the absence of competitive polling shifts or major developments since the primary. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant late-cycle national wave favoring Republicans, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or localized turnout anomalies in key precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$22,831Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and historical voting trends that favor the party by wide margins in general elections. Incumbent Laura Friedman secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the June 2026 primary, outpacing all challengers and advancing against Republican Scott Meyers, whose primary showing remained limited. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the district's partisan voting index and path-to-victory math that requires only standard turnout among core Democratic blocs. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the absence of competitive polling shifts or major developments since the primary. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant late-cycle national wave favoring Republicans, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or localized turnout anomalies in key precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,831Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 30th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and historical voting trends that favor the party by wide margins in general elections. Incumbent Laura Friedman secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the June 2026 primary, outpacing all challengers and advancing against Republican Scott Meyers, whose primary showing remained limited. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the district's partisan voting index and path-to-victory math that requires only standard turnout among core Democratic blocs. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the absence of competitive polling shifts or major developments since the primary. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant late-cycle national wave favoring Republicans, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or localized turnout anomalies in key precincts.
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