California's 12th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, features heavy Democratic voter registration at 64 percent alongside just 7 percent Republican. Incumbent Lateefah Simon advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce after defeating the sole Republican entrant, reflecting the district's consistent partisan patterns and the structural effects of California's primary system. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices the Democratic outcome near 97.5 percent. The November general election matchup between two Democrats further reinforces this positioning. Only exceptional late developments, such as a major candidate withdrawal, ethics issue, or unforeseen turnout anomaly, could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-12 House Election Winner
CA-12 House Election Winner
$43,796 Vol.
$43,796 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
2%
$43,796 Vol.
$43,796 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$26,622 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$17,173 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, features heavy Democratic voter registration at 64 percent alongside just 7 percent Republican. Incumbent Lateefah Simon advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce after defeating the sole Republican entrant, reflecting the district's consistent partisan patterns and the structural effects of California's primary system. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices the Democratic outcome near 97.5 percent. The November general election matchup between two Democrats further reinforces this positioning. Only exceptional late developments, such as a major candidate withdrawal, ethics issue, or unforeseen turnout anomaly, could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$43,796Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, features heavy Democratic voter registration at 64 percent alongside just 7 percent Republican. Incumbent Lateefah Simon advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce after defeating the sole Republican entrant, reflecting the district's consistent partisan patterns and the structural effects of California's primary system. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices the Democratic outcome near 97.5 percent. The November general election matchup between two Democrats further reinforces this positioning. Only exceptional late developments, such as a major candidate withdrawal, ethics issue, or unforeseen turnout anomaly, could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,796Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 12th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, features heavy Democratic voter registration at 64 percent alongside just 7 percent Republican. Incumbent Lateefah Simon advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce after defeating the sole Republican entrant, reflecting the district's consistent partisan patterns and the structural effects of California's primary system. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices the Democratic outcome near 97.5 percent. The November general election matchup between two Democrats further reinforces this positioning. Only exceptional late developments, such as a major candidate withdrawal, ethics issue, or unforeseen turnout anomaly, could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
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