Recent AtlasIntel and other state polls show Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and incumbent President Lula (PT) locked in a technical tie for first place in Amazonas first-round voting, with Bolsonaro at 41% and Lula at 39% in the latest survey, while Augusto Cury (Avante) trails at 10%. The contest remains tight due to divided regional preferences—Manaus leans more competitive while the interior favors Lula—and elevated rejection rates for both frontrunners. Bolsonaro benefits from PL party organization and conservative momentum in the North, while Lula draws on incumbency advantages, recent state visits, and development-focused messaging including offshore energy prospects. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks could shift undecided voters or consolidate support behind the top two ahead of the October 4 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLula 47%
Flavio Bolsonaro 46%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$22,794 Vol.
$22,794 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
47%
Flavio Bolsonaro
46%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 47%
Flavio Bolsonaro 46%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$22,794 Vol.
$22,794 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$7,104 Vol.
47%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$7,136 Vol.
46%
Clariana Barao
$823 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$729 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$571 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$747 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$836 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$1,149 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$751 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$855 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$542 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$908 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$641 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent AtlasIntel and other state polls show Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and incumbent President Lula (PT) locked in a technical tie for first place in Amazonas first-round voting, with Bolsonaro at 41% and Lula at 39% in the latest survey, while Augusto Cury (Avante) trails at 10%. The contest remains tight due to divided regional preferences—Manaus leans more competitive while the interior favors Lula—and elevated rejection rates for both frontrunners. Bolsonaro benefits from PL party organization and conservative momentum in the North, while Lula draws on incumbency advantages, recent state visits, and development-focused messaging including offshore energy prospects. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks could shift undecided voters or consolidate support behind the top two ahead of the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Volume
$22,794Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent AtlasIntel and other state polls show Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and incumbent President Lula (PT) locked in a technical tie for first place in Amazonas first-round voting, with Bolsonaro at 41% and Lula at 39% in the latest survey, while Augusto Cury (Avante) trails at 10%. The contest remains tight due to divided regional preferences—Manaus leans more competitive while the interior favors Lula—and elevated rejection rates for both frontrunners. Bolsonaro benefits from PL party organization and conservative momentum in the North, while Lula draws on incumbency advantages, recent state visits, and development-focused messaging including offshore energy prospects. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks could shift undecided voters or consolidate support behind the top two ahead of the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$22,794Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AtlasIntel and other state polls show Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and incumbent President Lula (PT) locked in a technical tie for first place in Amazonas first-round voting, with Bolsonaro at 41% and Lula at 39% in the latest survey, while Augusto Cury (Avante) trails at 10%. The contest remains tight due to divided regional preferences—Manaus leans more competitive while the interior favors Lula—and elevated rejection rates for both frontrunners. Bolsonaro benefits from PL party organization and conservative momentum in the North, while Lula draws on incumbency advantages, recent state visits, and development-focused messaging including offshore energy prospects. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks could shift undecided voters or consolidate support behind the top two ahead of the October 4 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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