Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona's 7th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its majority-Hispanic demographics and southern border geography including parts of Tucson and Yuma, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory on November 3, 2026. Grijalva secured her party's nomination without significant opposition in the July 2026 primary. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez Sr. faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm sentiment, turnout variations among key voting blocs, or unforeseen campaign events could still influence the final margin.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$21,042 Vol.
$21,042 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$21,042 Vol.
$21,042 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,794 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$15,248 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona's 7th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its majority-Hispanic demographics and southern border geography including parts of Tucson and Yuma, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory on November 3, 2026. Grijalva secured her party's nomination without significant opposition in the July 2026 primary. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez Sr. faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm sentiment, turnout variations among key voting blocs, or unforeseen campaign events could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$21,042Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona's 7th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its majority-Hispanic demographics and southern border geography including parts of Tucson and Yuma, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory on November 3, 2026. Grijalva secured her party's nomination without significant opposition in the July 2026 primary. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez Sr. faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm sentiment, turnout variations among key voting blocs, or unforeseen campaign events could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,042Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona's 7th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its majority-Hispanic demographics and southern border geography including parts of Tucson and Yuma, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory on November 3, 2026. Grijalva secured her party's nomination without significant opposition in the July 2026 primary. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez Sr. faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm sentiment, turnout variations among key voting blocs, or unforeseen campaign events could still influence the final margin.
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